49ers vs. Chiefs, 1/29/20 Darwin Thompson Super Bowl 54 Prop Predictions

By
Updated: January 29, 2020

Darwin Thompson SB54 Prop Predictions

49ers vs. Chiefs, 1/29/20 Darwin Thompson Super Bowl 54 Prop Predictions

Will Chiefs running back Darwin Thompson catch at least one pass against the 49ers in Super Bowl 54? Will he total at least two rush attempts? What will be his longest rush?

Game Snapshot

101 San Francisco 49ers (+1.5) vs. 102 Kansas City Chiefs (-1.5); o/u 54.5

6:30 p.m. ET, Sunday, February 2

Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL

Public Betting Trends

According to our NFL Football Public Betting Chart page, the Chiefs are receiving 59% of the betting tickets from online sportsbooks.

Darwin Thompson Super Bowl 54 Prop Predictions

During the regular season, Thompson averaged 3.45 rush attempts over 11 games played. He also averaged 11.64 rushing yards, 0.09 rushing touchdowns, 0.82 receptions per game and 3.91receiving yards per contest. In the playoffs, Thompson didn’t register a single rush attempt versus the Texans in the Wild Card round and wasn’t targeted in the passing game in that game either. While he didn’t exactly tear up the stat sheet, he was more involved in the Chiefs’ win over the Titans in the AFC Championship Game, registering one rush for seven yards while also being targeted in the passing game (while failing to record a reception).

Based on his regular-season production and factoring in what he’s done thus far in two postseason games, what are the best prop bets centered on Thompson? For starters, let’s look at his main Super Bowl prop bets.

Total Rushing Yards: Over/Under 4.5

Longest Rush: Over/Under 4.5

Total Rushing Attempts: Over/Under 1.5

Will Darwin Thompson Score a Touchdown: Yes (+500); No (-700)

Total Receiving Yards: Over/Under 1/2

Longest Reception: Over/Under 1/2

For starters, we can cross off the touchdown prop. Thompson finished with just one touchdown during the regular season, which came on the ground against the Raiders in Week 13. And while he’s unlikely to score on Sunday, there’s no value in laying -700 on the money line.

With the touchdown prop crossed off, we’re left with the deciding whether Thompson will be a factor on Sunday. Considering he was an afterthought in the Chiefs’ two postseason games thus far, as well as Andy Reid’s penchant for leaning on Damien Williams, the under total rushing attempts for Thompson is the best play on the board. He hasn’t received two carries since the end of the regular season and with how much the Chiefs put the ball in the air, he’s unlikely to see more than one carry on Sunday.

Here’s hoping to Williams stays healthy throughout the game.

Darwin Thompson Super Bowl 54 Prop Prediction: UNDER 1.5 Rush Attempts



Source link

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *