Las Vegas Boxing Odds: Floyd Mayweather Jr vs Robert Guerrero
Las Vegas Sports Picks
Thursday, May 02, 2013
by Bovada Sportsbook
Floyd "Money" Mayweather Jr. is set to make his highly anticipated return to the ring this Saturday night when he takes on Robert "The Ghost" Guerrero at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas, Nevada. The title bout, which will be televised on Showtime PPV, is for Floyd Mayweather's WBC Welterweight title and the currently vacant The Ring Welterweight title.
Mayweather Jr. out to prove that he's still the best
Love him or hate him, Floyd Mayweather is the undisputed pound-for-pound king of boxing. The welterweight is a perfect 43-0-0 (26 KO) over his illustrious 18-year professional career. While many blame Mayweather for the Pacquiao fight never coming to fruition and dislike his out-of-the-ring antics, no one can deny what a technical surgeon he is inside the ring.
In his last bout before serving a three-month jail sentence for domestic abuse back in June of 2012, Mayweather defeated Miguel Cotto by unanimous decision. Mayweather consistently out-landed and out-worked Cotto throughout the fight, landing more punches and power punches by a considerable margin. The fight brought in $94 million of PPV revenue, the second-most ever in a non-Heavyweight fight (with the first being Mayweather's fight against Oscar De La Hoya).
"Money" should once again draw a big crowd for this fight as fans and bettors anxiously await seeing Mayweather back in action. Floyd Mayweather has indicated that he wants to return to the ring twice in 2013, with the second bout targeted for September 14.
Can Guerrero hand Mayweather his first defeat?
Six years Mayweather's junior at 30 years old, Robert Guerrero has established himself as one of the best boxers in the world with a 31-1-1-2 (18 KO) record over the course of his 35-fight career. He is currently ranked the eighth best pound-for-pound boxer in the world by Ring Magazine.
Guerrero's only loss came by split decision back in 2006 against Gamaliel Diaz, a loss that "The Ghost" successfully remedied with a sixth round KO when he fought Diaz in a rematch three months later. Since that sole loss, Robert Guerrero has successfully fought at multiple weights (featherweight, super featherweight, lightweight, and welterweight) to string together 15 straight wins.
Robert Guerrero hadn't been considered a potential matchup for Mayweather after spending most of his career at lighter weights, but in recent wins over Selcuk Aydin (24-2) and Andre Berto (28-2) he's proven to be perfectly effective as a welterweight.
Betting on the big fight on Saturday night
Given Mayweather Jr.'s reputation and the lack of universal buzz outside of the boxing world around Robert Guerrero, it's no surprise to see Mayweather as a considerable favorite of -750 at Bovada Sportsbook.
It's hard to bet against the king of boxing, but at +475, there is some value on "The Ghost". Guerrero is younger, fresher, and has a lot more to prove. The problem of course is that he isn't much of a threat to knock Mayweather out, meaning he'll have to out-box the greatest boxer of our era. A tall order no matter how you slice it, but he has the talent to keep this one close, and as any boxing fan knows anything can happen when the fight goes to the cards.
And speaking of going to the cards, the OVER 11.5 rounds is the clear favorite in this fight at -300 over the UNDER 11.5 (+200). Each of Guerrero's last five bouts has gone to the cards, as have six of Mayweather's last eight fights. Considering the fact that neither of these men have ever been knocked out, it wouldn't surprise anyone to see this one come down to a decision.