Baylor vs West Virginia Picks and Predictions for March 2

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Updated: March 2, 2021

The Baylor Bears are coming off their first loss of the season – and second straight lackluster performance – and will try to rebound Tuesday night at West Virginia.

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The college basketball betting board has some terrific games on Tuesday, including a Big 12 showdown between the No. 3-ranked Baylor Bears and the No. 6 West Virginia Mountaineers.

The Bears will be looking to bounce back from their first loss of the season and oddsmakers are expecting them to do just that, installing them as 4.5-point road favorites. 

We bring you our best free Baylor vs. West Virginia picks and predictions for Tuesday, March 2, with tipoff at 5 p.m. ET.

Baylor Bears at West Virginia Mountaineers betting preview

Injuries

Baylor: None to report.
West Virginia: Isaiah Cottrell F (Out).
Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Bears are 44-21-1 ATS in their last 66 road games. Find more NCAA betting trends for Baylor vs. West Virginia.

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The line opened with Baylor at -4 and the total at 149.5. Early action favored Baylor and the Under, moving the line to -4.5 and the Over/Under to 148.5. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

Check out the full line movement for this game

Against the spread (ATS) pick

West Virginia is red-hot at the moment, coming off a dominating defensive performance against Kansas State and going 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS over its last seven contests. Its lone loss over that span came in overtime against a strong Oklahoma squad, while the Mountaineers picked up wins over ranked opponents such as Kansas, Texas and Texas Tech. 

Baylor is fresh off its first defeat of the season and it wasn’t even close, losing by 13 points on the road to Kansas. You could even say that the Bears are on a bit of a skid after their ugly performance earlier last week at home against Iowa State. The Cyclones are the worst team in the conference and Baylor had to come-from-behind to take its first lead with just four minutes remaining in the game.

That said, the Bears had reason to be rusty after a three-week delay in their season heading into that matchup with ISU. Prior to that break, they had been nothing short of dominant with a ridiculous scoring margin of plus-24.2 points per game, including a plus-19.3 ppg margin on the road.

Even with the Jayhawks loss on their resume, the Bears are second in the country in offensive efficiency (averaging 117.8 points per 100 possessions), while ranking ninth in defensive efficiency (88.4 points per 100 possession). As good as the Mountaineers are they rank a more modest 52nd and 116th in those same categories, putting up 105.9 points per 100 possessions while allowing 97.3.

There was also one positive takeaway from Baylor’s performance against Kansas: takeaways. The Bears turned the ball over just three times while forcing the Jayhawks into 17 turnovers, and their fantastic turnover margin of plus-6.32 per game is more than twice as good as West Virginia’s plus-2.65. 

With the Bears 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games as a road favorite, expect Scott Drew’s squad to bounce back with a big win in Morgantown. 

PREDICTION: Baylor -4.5 (-110)

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Over/Under Pick

Both Baylor and WVU are very efficient offensively and have been easy money for Over bettors recently, but there’s reason to think this game could go below the relatively lofty total of 149.5. After all, both teams are very well-coached defensively and put in a lot of effort on that end of the floor. 

The Bears are holding foes to just 63.7 points per game, while the Mountaineers limit opponents to 42.3 percent shooting at the WVU Coliseum. And neither school plays at a fast pace, ranking outside the Top 120 in adjusted tempo, according to KenPom. 

While Baylor is coming off a couple of poor defensive showings, evidence suggests those games are outliers. The Jayhawks scorched the Bears inside, shooting 66.7 percent from inside the arc. However, they are usually much better at defending inside—while the Mountaineers rank just 287th in the nation in two-point field goal percentage.

Although Iowa State went 10-21 from deep against Baylor last Tuesday, the Bears still hold foes to 32.1 percent shooting from long range over the season. 

Before their three-week break, the Bears had held all nine of their conference foes below 70 points. Meanwhile, the Mountaineers are coming off a contest where they held KSU to 43 points on 29 percent shooting. Back the Under. 

PREDICTION: Under 148.5 (-110)

Baylor vs West Virginia betting card

  • Baylor -4.5 (-110)
  • Under 148.5 (-110)

NCAA parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NCAA Baylor vs. West Virginia picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our NCAA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on college basketball?

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