Brewers vs Cardinals MLB Odds, Picks and Predictions April 11

Updated: April 10, 2021

Christian Yelich has been one of the few Brewers having some success at the plate to begin the 2021 season.

Photo By – USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Brewers will look to win their first series of the season against fellow NL Central contenders the St. Louis Cardinals on Sunday. The Brew Crew dropped Thursday’s game one 3-1, before coming back on Saturday with an emphatic 9-5 win.

Can Milwaukee take the series and pull even with St. Louis in the division race? Find out in our best free MLB betting picks and predictions for Brewers vs. Cardinals on Sunday, April 11 at 2:15 p.m. ET.

Brewers vs Cardinals odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

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The line opened at Brewers +115/Cardinals -125, with the total at 8.5. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

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Brewers vs Cardinals betting preview

Starting pitchers

Brett Anderson (0-1, 7.20 ERA): Milwaukee’s lefty struggled in his first start of the season, a 5-3 loss to the Cubs. Anderson gave up four hits and four runs — including three homers — and struck out just four batters before getting yanked after five innings and 79 pitches. 

Daniel Ponce de Leon (1-0, 1.80 ERA): The young righty made a solid first start of the season for St. Louis, going five innings and allowing just three hits in a Cardinals win. However, Ponce de Leon struck out just three, after recording a career-high 12.4 strikeouts per nine innings in nine games last season.


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Key injuries

Brewers: Kolten Wong 2B (Out), Lorenzo Cain CF (Probable), Jacob Nottingham C (Out), Derek Fisher LF (Out), Bobby Wahl RP (Out), Tim Lopes 2B (Out), Mark Mathias 2B (Out).
Cardinals: Tyler O’Neill RF (Questionable), Paul Goldschmidt 1B (Probable), Harrison Bader CF (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings between the Brewers and Cardinals in St. Louis. Find more MLB betting trends for Brewers vs. Cardinals.

Moneyline pick

The Brewers have now won three of their last four, with the loss in that run coming against the Cardinals and, oddly, starter Adam Wainwright, who carried an ERA over 20 into that one before limiting Milwaukee to just one run. 

Their Saturday win over the Cards has to be encouraging, as the Brewers put together their best day at the plate this season while topping five runs for the first time since Opening Day. It was a long time coming for the Brewers’ bats, as they entered that one sitting 28th in runs per game, 29th in batting average and 30th in on-base percentage, with Christian Yelich, Travis Shaw and Omar Narvaez the only batters to find any real success to begin the year.

For St. Louis, Saturday’s loss was an extension of an odd start. An Opening Day win over the Reds was followed by back-to-back losses in Cincinnati, including a 12-1 hammering. A sweep of the Marlins followed and they made it four straight wins on the back of a strong start from Wainwright. However, they’ve now dropped three of five against the NL Central and could see both of those series follow the same track, with opening wins followed by two losses.  

St. Louis appears to have the edge in starting pitchers entering this one, but the Cards’ performances outside of a series against a young Marlins squad have been wanting. 

PREDICTION: Brewers (+115)

Covers MLB betting analysis

Over/Under pick

Milwaukee entered Saturday in the bottom-three in most batting metrics, but it came alive with 13 hits leading to nine runs, an excellent sign for what had been a lifeless lineup. However, the Brewers had a considerable amount of their success at the plate come in the seventh, with a three-hit, two-walk inning featuring a two-run double and three-run home run giving them a lead they didn’t look back on.

Though the Cardinals have produced more runs on the year, with Saturday’s performance right in line with their runs per game average of 5.31, their lineup hasn’t been clean, either. St. Louis has one of the worst batting averages in MLB, a lowly .202, and has the fifth-most strikeouts in the majors. They found success on Saturday, but the Brewers have done a great job of limiting opponents at the plate this season.

These two teams may have combined for 14 runs and 24 hits on Saturday, but everything so far this season says that’s an anomalistic performance. We’re backing the Under here.

PREDICTION: Under 8.5 (-105)

Brewers vs Cardinals betting card

  • Brewers (+115)
  • Under 8.5 (-105)

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