Bruins vs Penguins Picks and Predictions for March 16

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Updated: March 16, 2021

The Bruins got the services of Jake DeBrusk back last night as the winger jumped onto the second line and finished fourth on the team in expected goals.

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The Pittsburgh Penguins will look to make it six in a row as they take on the Boston Bruins for the second straight night after picking up a convincing 4-1 victory Monday. 

With Tuukka Rask ruled out and Jaroslav Halak starting yesterday, the B’s will be rolling with Daniel Vladar in net tonight, who has yet to play an NHL game.

The Bruins were favored last night but Pittsburgh opened as the juicier of the two teams for the second game. The total sits at 5.5 shaded to the Over.

Here are our free picks and predictions for Boston Bruins vs Pittsburgh Penguins for Tuesday, March 16 (7:00 PM EST).

Boston Bruins at Pittsburgh Penguins betting preview

Injuries

Bruins: Tuukka Rask G (out)
Penguins: John Marino D (out), Jason Zucker F (out)
Find our latest NHL injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Under is 7-0-1 in the Bruins’ last eight games. Find more NHL betting trends for Bruins vs. Penguins.

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The line opened at Boston -107, with the total at 5.5. Early action favored Pittsburgh and has been split on the total. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

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Moneyline pick

The Bruins came out hot last night as they managed 12 shots and a power-play goal in the game’s first 10 minutes, but they failed to solve Tristan Jarry after that. Boston outshot Pittsburgh 42-26 but the offense let them down once again in the 4-1 loss. The defeat drops the Bruins to 1-4 SU in their last five as they sit in fifth place in the East Division. The quick turnaround means Boston won’t have much time to lick its wounds and it won’t have to deal with Jarry, either.

The Pens will go with Casey DeSmith. DeSmith is coming off a 3-0 shutout win over the Sabres on Saturday, but blanking the Sabres these days is no need for celebration. The Penguins’ No. 2 has played well this month in three starts (2-1 SU with three goals allowed) but this is still the same goalie who was sporting a GAA of over three over the season’s first two months.

The big mystery for the Bruins is between the pipes. Daniel Vladar will get the start in net Tuesday with Tuukka Rask out and Jaroslav Halak starting last night. Vladar is a 23-year old former third-round pick who is 2-3 SU in five starts for the Providence Bruins of the AHL, but with a great 2.01 GAA to go along with a .923 SV% and a shutout. He has five years of experience in the AHL.

The Bruins got the services of Jake DeBrusk back last night as the winger jumped onto the second line and finished fourth on the team in expected goals. DeBrusk’s addition helps take the pressure off the top line as the former first-round pick has the potential to be a 30-goal scorer. 

Pittsburgh has been playing a lot of hockey this month as Tuesday’s game will be its ninth game in 16 days. This is not a young team and with the way they’re playing, the Pens are due for a dud. Boston will be using the starting goalie situation as a motivational factor, and at even money, this is a great spot to take the visitors. 

PREDICTION: Boston ML (+100)

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Over/Under pick

Fading a goalie making his first appearance is not always the best move. For starters, opponents don’t have a lot of relevant tape to work with, which benefits the netminder. Secondly, teams tend to play much more conservatively knowing a tendy is making his debut. This leads to players taking fewer chances in the offensive zone while also making sure they come back to help on the defensive end.

Heading into the two-game set, the Bruins had failed to hit the Over in seven straight games and had cashed the Under in 15 of their 24 games. This month, no team has kept more pucks out of its own net than Boston, as it is conceding just 1.71 goals per game in March. 

Their offense has also struggled this year and has really stunk up the joint of late. Over their last seven, the Bruins are scoring just 1.87 goals per game, which is the worst mark in all of hockey.

During their current six-game winning streak, the Penguins have allowed just nine goals. Their offense has done the heavy lifting to go 4-2 O/U but the Under has hit comfortably in their last two.

Boston owns an elite penalty-killing unit and despite giving up a PP goal last night, has a 91.3 percent success rate this month, which is better than its league-leading 88 percent success rate on the season. 

With Boston’s struggles scoring and its motivation to play a better game defensively in front of a goalie making his debut, we like the Under at even money for the back-end game of this back-to-back set.

PREDICTION: Under 5.5 (+100)

Bruins vs Penguins betting card

  • Boston ML (+100)
  • Under 5.5 (+100)

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