Bucks vs Nets NBA Odds, Picks and Predictions June 7

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Updated: June 6, 2021

Only on a talent-rich roster like the Brooklyn Nets can a former MVP and NBA scoring champ be worth just 1.5 points to the spread.

At least that’s the current value for James Harden, according to the NBA odds, with his status for Game 2 versus the Milwaukee Bucks up in the air. Brooklyn, which closed a 3.5-point favorite for the conference semifinals series opener, is 2-point home chalk for Monday’s matchup after Harden injured his hamstring 43 seconds into Game 1 on Saturday.

Check out our free NBA betting picks and predictions for Bucks vs. Nets on June 7.

Bucks vs Nets game info

Location: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY
Date: Monday, June 7, 2021
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: TNT

Bucks vs Nets odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Compare NBA odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

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The Nets opened as 2.5-point home chalk and dipped as low as -1.5 before settling in around -2. According to early action splits, more than 80 percent of tickets and money is riding on Brooklyn. The total hit the board at 235.5 and has slimmed to 233.5 points. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

Check out the full line movement for this game

Bucks vs Nets series odds

Bucks: +188
Nets: -225

Bucks vs Nets betting preview

Injuries

Bucks: Donte DiVincenzo G (Out).
Nets: James Harden G (Questionable), Jeff Green F (Out).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Over is 4-1 in Bucks’ last five road games. Find more NBA betting trends for Bucks vs. Nets.

Against the spread (ATS) pick

Since Harden’s injury happened within the first minute of Game 1, the Nets’ 115-107 victory was definitely earned and displayed their ability to absorb such hits and keep coming forward. But to say they got the Bucks’ best shot would be a lie.

Milwaukee did seem rusty in the series opener, enjoying six days off between its quarterfinal sweep of the Miami Heat and Saturday’s contest. The Bucks shot just 45 percent from the field, most notably 6 of 30 from beyond the arc, and turned the ball over 14 times Saturday — this coming from the best offense in the league which averaged 120 points on nearly 48 percent shooting this season.

Brooklyn’s defense has gotten more credit than it deserves this postseason. The Nets took advantage of a disjointed Boston playbook in the opening games of their first-round set, but then showed their true color with the Celtics boasting an offensive rating of 124.6 through the final three games after posting an advanced metric of just 103.1 in the first two contests.

As for Harden, his biggest contribution to Brooklyn was his playmaking, averaging almost 11 assists in the first round. That frees up Kyrie Irving from point guard duties, allowing him to be more aggressive with the basketball in isolation. Hamstring injuries aren’t easy to overcome and drastically impact quickness and mobility. With a two-day gap between Game 2 and Game 3 in Milwaukee on Thursday, the Nets would be smart to sit Harden on Monday and give him an extended period to rest and recover.

The Bucks got mediocre efforts from their usually consistent support staff, with Khris Middleton and Jrue Holiday combining for just 30 points on a collective 13 for 42 from the field, including an ice-cold 2-of-12 night from 3-point range. In order to match the Nets’ wealth of options, expect to see more minutes and better performances from those two as well as Milwaukee’s other starters.

If you like the Bucks to bounce back, you may want to grab them now and get ahead of any updates on Harden that could slim this spread even further. This line opened Brooklyn -2.5 and is down to -2, with 85 percent of early tickets on the home side and 81 percent of the handle on BK.

PREDICTION: Milwaukee +2 (-110)

Covers NBA betting analysis

Over/Under pick

Milwaukee mangled one of the best defenses in the NBA in its Round 1 waxing of Miami, posting an offensive rating of 115.0 and averaging 118.5 points with a pace rating of 100.26 in those four games.

The Bucks have the size to hurt the Nets, dominating the paint for 72 points and a 63-percent success rate from within eight feet of the basket in Game 1, but they just need to make some looks from outside to really make Brooklyn sweat.

The Nets offense will suffer without Harden creating and demanding the respect of the defense, but Brooklyn knows how to operate without the bearded guard, having played most of the second half of the schedule without him.

Irving and Kevin Durant will get theirs and the Nets’ depth will cushion the blow of Harden’s jacked-up hammy. Brooklyn is a dangerous isolation team and Milwaukee wasn’t great at stopping those one-on-one attacks during the season, giving up the fourth-highest points per play to isolation offenses (0.98) and allowing foes a scoring frequency of 44.9 percent in isos.

The Bucks’ defensive strength comes from packing the paint and funneling into bigger defenders, which is tough to do against the Nets’ spacing and range. Milwaukee was lucky to only allow 15 3-pointers on 40 attempts from Brooklyn in Game 1.

These teams played at a pace of 104.5 in Game 1 with the final score staying well under the tall total of 239.5 after Milwaukee managed just 46 second-half points on an effective field goal rate of 45.5 percent in the closing 24 minutes. Bookies opened the Game 2 Over/Under at 235.5 and it’s since dropped two points to 233.5. With the Bucks busting through the Game 1 rust and the Nets flexing their embarrassment of riches, this one lives up to that lofty number.

PREDICTION: Over 233.5 (-110)

First-quarter pick

I loved betting first-quarter Overs in the Nets-Celtics series and continue to cash in on quick starts in this conference semifinal series.

Brooklyn went 3-2 Over/Under versus the 1Q totals in Round 1 and topped the 59.5-point total for the opening frame of Saturday’s series opener with the Bucks, posting a collective 62 points in the first 12 minutes of action.

The Nets are averaging 30.3 first-quarter points in the playoffs with a pace metric of 102.33 and an offensive rating of 119.0 in those segments. Milwaukee is right there alongside Brooklyn, putting up 29.6 first-quarter points per game with a pace rating of 105.6 fueling that early output.

The Game 2 1Q total has dipped to 53.5 points, which shouldn’t take much extra effort from either side to top.

PREDICTION: First quarter Over 53.5 points (-120)

Bucks vs Nets betting card

  • Milwaukee +2 (-110)
  • Over 233.5 (-110)
  • First quarter Over 53.5 points (-120)

Picks made on 6/06/2021 at 3:05 pm. ET

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