Capitals vs Penguins Picks and Predictions for February 14

Updated: February 14, 2021

The Washington Capitals have lost three straight games but a week-long layoff may be the reset they need to get back on track, starting with a matchup against Pittsburgh Sunday afternoon.

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There are only two games on the NHL betting board this Sunday, with the first game an East Division clash between the Washington Capitals and Pittsburgh Penguins at 3 p.m. ET.

So even if you have plans this Valentine’s Day, you can probably squeeze in a little hockey action before you head to your dinner reservations. And there have been few NHL matchups more scintillating over the last 15 years than the Caps vs. Pens, with an ongoing battle between legends Alexander Ovechkin and Sidney Crosby.

Here are our best Capitals vs. Penguins picks and predictions for Sunday, February 14. 

Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins betting preview


Capitals: Evgeny Kuznetsov C (Probable), T.J. Oshie RW (Questionable), Justin Schultz D (Questionable), Jakub Vrana LW (Out).
Penguins: Brian Dumoulin D (Out), Jared McCann LW (Out), Marcus Pettersson D (Out), Evan Rodrigues LW (Out), Juuso Riikola D (Out), Zach Trotman D (Out).
Find our latest NHL injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Over is 6-0 in the last six meetings between these Eastern Conference foes. Find more NHL betting trends for Capitals vs. Penguins.

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The line opened at Pittsburgh -115, with the total at 6.5. Early action favored the Penguins, shifting their line to -125, while the Over/Under has stayed steady. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

Check out the full line movement for this game

Moneyline pick

It’s been a week since we last saw the Capitals in action, when they lost 7-4 to the Flyers to increase their losing streak to three games.

The Penguins are coming off a shootout win against the Islanders but have just two wins in their last five games, with both of those victories coming in overtime. As a matter of fact, five of the Penguins’ six wins this season have come in OT, which means their play in regulation has left much to be desired.

Pittsburgh has a defensive corps decimated by injuries and has gotten shoddy play in nets from Tristan Jarry, who is 2-4-1 with a 3.95 goals-against and a save percentage of .857.

While the Penguins have been known for their offensive fireworks over the last decade (thanks to superstars like Crosby, Evgeni Malkin and Kris Letang), they haven’t shined in that department this season. Pittsburgh ranks 20th in the league with just 2.74 goals per 60 minutes and the Pens power play percentage of 13.5 ranks 24th.

On the other hand, the Caps are second in the league with 3.58 goals per game and they rank first on the power play, converting on 37 percent of chances with the man advantage. That’s bad news for a brutal Penguins penalty kill that ranks 29th in the league with a 70.3 percent kill rate.

While Washington hasn’t played in a while, the rest might actually be good for the Caps as they look to reset and snap a mini-slump. And while they lost their two previous matchups against the Penguins earlier this year, both contests went into OT, so they should be eager to get one back. Back the Caps.

PREDICTION: Washington (+105)

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Over/Under pick

We already mentioned Pittsburgh’s struggles in nets, with the Penguins allowing a whopping 3.67 goals per game, but the Caps aren’t much better. Washington allows 3.58 gpg and regardless of who gets the start tonight, we should see plenty of goals. 

There have been calls to let rookie Vitek Vanecek stake his claim as the No. 1 goaltender, but the 25-year-old has an unimpressive 3.18 GAA across 10 starts and got shelled for four goals on just 14 shots in his previous appearance.

Meanwhile, the heir apparent to Braden Holtby, 23-year-old Ilya Samsonov, is back in the lineup after missing three weeks due to COVID-19. Samsonov played well last season but looked shaky in two starts this year, surrendering seven goals on 53 shots.

Both sides have plenty of questions in nets and plenty of talent up front. The Caps are 8-2 to the Over in their last 10 games overall while the Pens have cashed the Over in seven of their previous eight games as a favorite.

With the Over also cashing in six straight meetings in the head-to-head, back it again on Sunday. 

PREDICTION: Over 6.5 (-110)

Capitals vs Penguins betting card

  • Washington (+105)
  • Over 6.5 (-110)

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