Chelsea vs Real Madrid Champions League Odds, Picks and Predictions May 5

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Updated: May 3, 2021

Chelsea are on a strong run, losing only once in their last 11 games, and are one win away from reaching the Champions League final.

Photo By – USA TODAY Sports

Chelsea did what they needed to do to gain the upper hand in a Champions League semifinal tie with Real Madrid, but can the Blues contain the Spanish powerhouses yet again this week?

The answer to that question will ultimately determine which team advances to the championship as Chelsea hosts Real Madrid on Wednesday. The English Premier League stalwarts battled Madrid to a 1-1 draw at Santiago Bernabeu Stadium and can advance outright with a scoreless draw or a victory.

They come in as narrow favorites against a Madrid team that faces an uphill battle in its quest to win the Champions League crown for the fifth time in the past eight years.

These are our favorite Champions League bets for Chelsea vs. Real Madrid on May 5.

Chelsea vs Real Madrid odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

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Opening line report here. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

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Chelsea vs Real Madrid betting preview

Injuries

Chelsea: Mateo Kovacic M (Out).
Real Madrid: Lucas Vazquez S (Out), Dani Carvajal D (Out), Raphael Varane D (Out), Sergio Ramos D (Doubtful), Ferland Mendy D (Doubtful), Marcelo Vieira D (Doubtful), Federico Valverde M (Doubtful).

Betting trend to know

Chelsea have gone Under 2.5 goals allowed in 17 of their last 19 games.

Moneyline pick

We liked the draw in this space a week ago, and it came to fruition thanks to strong defensive play from both clubs. Chelsea own a slight edge by virtue of the away goal they scored, and have been unrelenting at home since the start of the calendar year. They’ve allowed just seven goals in their past 14 home matches – five of those coming in a loss to West Bromwich Albion on April 3.

That might be too much for Real Madrid to overcome, given their recent offensive woes. The most prolific team in Champions League history has been blanked in three of its previous six matches, with multi-goal efforts against middling La Liga clubs Cadiz and Osasuna making up the majority of the offensive output over that span.

Chelsea are on a strong run at the moment, kicked off with a statement win over a Manchester City team they might very well meet in the Champions League final. We don’t see them faltering on home turf in their biggest game of the year.

PICK: Chelsea (+115)

Over/Under pick

We don’t need to go into great detail to explain our pick here. Chelsea have been one of the most consistent Under options in all of European domestic soccer over the past two-plus months, having finished below the 2.5-goal threshold in 17 of their previous 19 games across all competitions, and in each of their last six Champions League matches dating back to Dec. 8.

Few teams on the planet can control the play on their home turf like Chelsea, and while Real Madrid are full value for their spot in the semifinals, they don’t have the offensive firepower to make this one a shootout. We like the Under again Wednesday.

PICK: Under 2.5 (-150)

First half prop pick

We didn’t hit on just how incredible Chelsea have been at home since Thomas Tuchel took the reins as manager. All five of the goals they’ve allowed in 11 home games over that stretch came in that inexplicable effort vs. West Brom, meaning that Chelsea have racked up clean sheets in each of the other 10 games in London under his watch.

Chelsea will be content to use the counterattack to generate pressure against Real Madrid, while the visitors might be satisfied with being a little more tactical in the early going before increasing the pressure if they’re tied or trailing going into the break. In other words, there are plenty of reasons to believe that his game will go into the half with no goals on the board.

PICK: Under 0.5 first half goals (+162)

Chelsea vs Real Madrid betting card

  • Chelsea (+115)
  • Under 2.5 (-150)
  • Under 0.5 first half goals (+162)

Picks made on 5/03/2021 at 5:00 p.m. ET

Champions League parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s Champions League Chelsea vs Real Madrid picks, you could win $83.88 on a $10 bet?

Use our Champions League parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on Champions League soccer?

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