Diamondbacks vs Nationals MLB Odds, Picks and Predictions April 18

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Updated: April 17, 2021

Juan Soto and the Nationals’ lineup has shown signs of life recently and can come alive against the struggling Madison Bumgarner on Sunday.

Photo By – USA TODAY Sports

Two National League opponents will wrap up a four-game series on Sunday afternoon, with the NL East’s Washington Nationals hosting the NL West’s Arizona Diamondbacks. Arizona and Washington split the first two games, before Washington earned a 6-2 win on Saturday. 

Can Arizona come back on Sunday and earn a series split? Check out our best free MLB betting picks and predictions for Diamondbacks vs. Nationals on April 18 at 1:05 p.m. EST.

Diamondbacks vs Nationals odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

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The line opened at Diamondbacks +175/Nationals -192, with the total at 8.5. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

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Diamondbacks vs Nationals betting preview

Starting pitchers

Madison Bumgarner (0-2, 11.20 ERA): The long-time San Francisco Giant got off to a rough start in Arizona in 2020, the first year of a five-year, $85 million deal, as MadBum went 1-4 with a 6.48 ERA, striking out 30 batters over 13 2-3 innings. It hasn’t been much better to begin year two. Bumgarner is 0-2 with a hideous 11.20 ERA and eight walks. He is, however, averaging his highest strikeouts per nine innings (9.9) since 2016. 

Stephen Strasburg (0-1, 6.30 ERA): It has been a mixed bag in Stephen Strasburg’s return from a lost 2020 season. In his first start, the former World Series MVP went six innings while allowing one hit, two walks and no runs while fanning eight of the 21 Atlanta batters he faced. His second start was less successful, allowing eight hits and eight runs, walking five batters while striking out just three across four innings. 

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Diamondbacks: Ketel Marte CF (Out), Christian Walker 1B (Out), Joakim Soria RP (Out), Tyler Clippard RP (Out).
Nationals: Luis Avilan RP (Out), Josh Harrison 2B (Questionable), Jon Lester SP (Out), Will Harris RP (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Over is 6-3 in the last nine meetings between the Nationals and Diamondbacks. Find more MLB betting trends for Diamondbacks vs. Nationals.

Moneyline pick

The Nationals have shown signs of life after an 0-6 start, a signal that the 2019 World Series champions will be able to return to form after a poor 2020 after all. Washington won two of three against the Cards after that 0-6 start and hold a 2-1 edge in its series against the Diamondbacks. Even more encouraging still, the Nationals’ underlying numbers at the plate have been solid even though they aren’t cashing in runners consistently, and their staff, on paper, can be better than solid. 

It’s the opposite for the Diamondbacks at the plate, where they are scoring the 10th most runs per game but rank in the Bottom-11 in both batting average and on-base percentage. Arizona did little to improve a mediocre lineup over the offseason — though Eduardo Escobar’s start is encouraging — there is little reason to believe the DBacks can be a top-half of the league lineup. 

Outside of Zac Gallen, the DBacks’ pitching staff isn’t exactly threatening, either, with Bumgarner looking like a particular disaster. With a struggling starter coming up against a Nats lineup showing signs of life, we’re siding with the home team. 

PREDICTION: Nationals (-192)

Covers MLB betting analysis

Over/Under pick

Washington can be encouraged by a few recent positive performances at the plate, which is perhaps a sign that positive regression is coming as far as getting runners home. As of Saturday, the Nats are sixth in the majors in batting average and 11th in on-base percentage, but 27th in runs per game at 3.45. 

The Nationals have been able to count on the top half of their lineup, with Juan Soto continuing the excellent start to his career, but the back-half has been quiet. However, on Saturday, they saw success up and down the lineup, as they tagged Arizona for 15 hits — made all the more impressive by Soto’s 0 for 4 day at the plate. 

They’ll have the chance to replicate that performance on Sunday against the struggling Bumgarner. Even if Arizona only musters a couple of runs, Washington should find enough success against MadBum to push this one Over. 

PREDICTION: Over 8.5 (-101)

Diamondbacks vs Nationals betting card

  • Nationals (-192)
  • Over 8.5 (-101)
    Picks made on 04/17/2021 at 6:35 p.m. EST.

MLB parlays

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