Dodgers Projected to Lead Majors

Updated: February 17, 2021

After winning the 2020 World Series, the Dodgers signed prized free agent Trevor Bauer and are projected to lead the Majors in wins.

Photo By – USA TODAY Sports

Pitchers and catchers have started to report, meaning a new season is just around the corner. That also means that baseball betting is back, as MLB win totals have begun trickling in. 

The plan is to go back to a full 162-game season this year, so MLB Over/Under win projections will look normal again.

Let’s take a look and see the MLB win totals projections of all 30 teams for the 2021 season.

Team projected for most wins in 2021

The Los Angeles Dodgers are projected to have the most wins in baseball this season at 103.5. After winning the 2020 World Series and signing prized free agent starter Trevor Bauer, this should come as no surprise. 

The New York Yankees, at 95.5 wins, and the San Diego Padres (93.5) round out the top three projected MLB 2021 win totals. 

New York is always a threat out of the American League, while the Padres made the playoffs last year for the first time since 2006 and added to an already talented team during a busy offseason.

Team projected for fewest wins in 2021

The Pittsburgh Pirates (58) and Colorado Rockies (63.5) are projected to have the fewest victories. They’re the only teams with their MLB Over/Under win totals coming in under 65. 

The Baltimore Orioles join them at the bottom, with an American League-worst projection of 66 wins.

Pittsburgh and Baltimore are going through difficult rebuilds, while Colorado traded franchise cornerstone Nolan Arenado to the St. Louis Cardinals during the offseason.

2021 MLB Over/Under win totals

Team 2021 Projected Win Total (As of February 17)
Arizona Diamondbacks 76.5
Atlanta Braves 90.5
Baltimore Orioles 66
Boston Red Sox 79.5
Chicago Cubs 78
Chicago White Sox 89.5
Cincinnati Reds 80.5
Cleveland Indians 82
Colorado Rockies 63.5
Detroit Tigers 70
Houston Astros 88.5
Kansas City Royals 73.5
Los Angeles Angels 83.5
Los Angeles Dodgers 103.5
Miami Marlins 74.5
Milwaukee Brewers 83.5
Minnesota Twins 89
New York Mets 90.5
New York Yankees 95.5
Oakland Athletics 86.5
Philadelphia Phillies 80.5
Pittsburgh Pirates 58
San Diego Padres 93.5
San Francisco Giants 74.5
Seattle Mariners 72.5
St. Louis Cardinals 85.5
Tampa Bay Rays 88.5
Texas Rangers 67
Toronto Blue Jays 86
Washington Nationals 84.5

Odds courtesy of  SuperBook.

When does Vegas release MLB win totals?

Traditionally, sportsbooks open MLB regular-season win totals odds a few weeks before teams report to Spring Training facilities in February, once free agency has settled and we have a good idea of what rosters will look like. But some shops are offering these wagers earlier and earlier in the new year.

How to bet MLB season win totals

Season win totals are pretty straightforward: you’re betting on how many wins a team will have that regular season.

Oddsmakers set a projected number of wins for each team – based on past success, returning personnel and strength of schedule – and offer Over/Under betting options, allowing you to wager on if a team will exceed that win total (Over) or fall short of it (Under). This total does not include postseason games.

On top of the season win total itself, oddsmakers set an assigned cost to the Over and Under bets – also known as vig or juice – depending on the implied probability of the team winning more or less than that total.

For example, last year oddsmakers calculated the Yankees to win 37 games but felt like there was a better chance of them winning 38 games rather than 36. Therefore, they set the Yanks with a win total of 37 but increased the vig on the OVER to -130 (bet $1.30 to win $1) and decreased the vig on the UNDER to +110 (win $1.10 for every $1 bet). 

  • OVER 37 WINS (-130)
  • UNDER 37 WINS (+110)

Season win totals are considered futures betting odds and sportsbooks will take action on season win totals from the time they post the odds until the start of the season. Futures bets are then graded at the end of the season when all results are final.

Where can I bet on MLB win totals?

You can bet on MLB win totals odds at every online and casino sportsbook. Find ratings and reviews for the best sportsbooks for betting on baseball win totals in your area.

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