F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix: Odds, Tips, and Picks

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Updated: June 3, 2021

This week we’re bringing you Azerbaijan Grand Prix picks and F1 betting odds, with the sport returning to Baku for the first time since 2019.

With the title race heating up, there is very little separating the two drivers at the top of the Azerbaijan Grand Prix odds board but still plenty of variation in the F1 picks. 

Full Formula 1 odds and Azerbaijan GP picks for this weekend’s race, below.

F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix odds

Driver Odds to win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix
Max Verstappen +110
Lewis Hamilton +130
Valtteri Bottas +700
Sergio Perez +1,000
Lando Norris +2,800
Daniel Ricciardo +5,000
Charles Leclerc +5,000
Carlos Sainz +8,000
Pierre Gasly +15,000
Esteban Ocon +25,000
Sebastian Vettel +25,000
Fernando Alonso +25,000
Yuki Tsunoda +50,000
Lance Stroll +50,000
Antonio Giovinazzi +150,000
Kimi Raikkonen +150,000
George Russell +200,000
Nicholas Latifi +300,000
Mick Schumacher +400,000
Nikita Mazepin +400,000

Odds courtesy of bet365 on June 3.

Where is the Azerbaijan Grand Prix taking place?

One of four street circuits on the Formula 1 calendar, the grid has raced the streets of Baku four times since 2016. While the majority of the circuit is tight, winding, and visually stunning, there is also the chance for breathtaking overtakes.

The start/finish straight is not only incredibly long, but the width allows for cars to go three-wide, with a runoff area at the end of the straight which encourages bold pass attempts. The first Azerbaijan Grand Prix (and the second race in Baku), in 2017, saw race-winner Daniel Ricciardo overtake three cars from the inside into turn one to take a lead he wouldn’t give up.

F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix tips and picks

Tip: Fastest Qualifier – Valtteri Bottas (+450)

It’s no secret that Valtteri Bottas’ 2021 season has been, in some respects, a season from hell. There was an unfortunate crash in the second race of the season in Imola, meek racing sequences during various weekends, the drama surrounding his future with Mercedes, and, most recently, one of the most absurd retirements F1 has ever seen.

However, despite all of the negatives, Bottas still boasts two fastest laps, a pole position, and three podiums through five races this season. He’s in the fastest car on the grid and he remains a driver fully capable of maximizing his car — especially on a single lap.

Bottas has famously put in results throughout his Mercedes career when the chips are seemingly stacked against him, which makes him at +450 (compared to +125 for teammate Lewis Hamilton) to top qualifying quite appealing. Bottas has consistently performed well in the streets of Baku, qualifying in first, second, and third in the Mercedes, winning the previous race there in 2019, and finishing second in 2017 (a puncture saw him retire in 2018). 

Bottas desperately needs a strong weekend, with his future at Mercedes reportedly set to be decided one way or another during the summer. He can begin the weekend brightly with pole position on Saturday. 

Tip: Charles Leclerc Podium – Yes (+300)

The young Ferrari driver experienced the highest and lowest points of his F1 career during the Monaco Grand Prix, taking pole position during Saturday’s qualifying before he was unable to start the race due to car damage following a crash that prematurely ended qualifying. 

However, despite how gutting Leclerc’s previous race weekend was, he’ll have a chance at quick redemption. The pace of Leclerc and teammate Carlos Sainz in Monaco, with Sainz finishing in second, shows how threatening the Ferrari can be in a street circuit like Monaco or Azerbaijan. Leclerc has impressed in his two career races in Baku, taking the fastest lap, setting the track record and being named Driver of the Day in a fifth-place finish in 2019 (after qualifying in eighth), and finishing sixth from 13th on the grid in 2018 — in a Sauber, which was then Ferrari’s junior team and not a team expected to be in any midfield places.

It may require a strong qualifying session or a safety car during Sunday’s race, and Ferrari’s straight-line speed may cost them, but Leclerc can absolutely be in the mix for a podium on Sunday. At +300 for the pole-sitter at Monaco, we love the value. 

Tip: Sebastian Vettel – Top-6 Finish (+600)

Four-time World Drivers’ champion Sebastian Vettel may have been written off too quickly, following a difficult end to his time at Ferrari and an equally difficult start with Aston Martin in 2021.

Vettel has now made it into Q3 in two of the last three races, and his performance at the Monaco Grand Prix was his best in over a year. His Aston Martin has recently received upgrades and there has been an immediate benefit, with Vettel delivering the team’s best result of the season with a fifth-place finish in Monaco. 

Between Vettel’s growing comfort in the Aston Martin and the similarities between Baku’s circuit and Monaco (with the Aston Martin’s Mercedes engine less likely to suffer in the long straight), the German driver can absolutely push his car into the midfield battle yet again.

With two fourth-place finishes and a third-place podium finish in the previous three Azerbaijan Grand Prix, Vettel has performed well in the streets of Baku. This weekend, he can deliver a second consecutive encouraging race for his new team.

Covers Auto Racing betting analysis

Past winners of the Azerbaijan Grand Prix

Year Azerbaijan Grand Prix Winner
2019 Valtteri Bottas
2018 Lewis Hamilton
2017 Daniel Ricciardo 
2016 (as the European Grand Prix) Nico Rosberg

How to bet on Formula 1

The most popular way to bet on Formula 1 odds is by simply picking the winner of a particular race. Other popular F1 betting options include on which car/constructor will win and whether or not a particular race car driver will end up on the podium with a Top-3 finish.

F1 race odds usually look like this:

This means that on a $100 bet, you’ll stand to profit $650 if Vettel wins that particular race. If one driver is especially dominant, you might see a minus sign (-) ahead of that driver’s odds like this: 

This means that you would need to bet $175 to win $100 on Hamilton winning the race.

Where can I bet on F1 betting odds?

As the top international car racing competition, most online sportsbooks and casinos offer F1 odds. Check out the best sportsbooks available where you live and see what Formula 1 odds they have available.


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