Grizzlies vs Bucks NBA Odds, Picks and Predictions April 17

Updated: April 17, 2021

Jonas Valanciunas has been demolishing the glass lately, averaging 14.25 rpg in March and April and recording double-digit rebounds in an amazing 23 straight games prior to last night.

Photo By – USA TODAY Sports

The Memphis Grizzlies have mostly overachieved again this season, holding serve as playoff contenders throughout numerous key injuries in a tougher Western Conference. 

Along the way, they’ve also solidified themselves as one of the NBA’s best ATS bets at 34-20, good for second league-wide. 

But they face a stiff challenge tonight against a Milwaukee Bucks squad that has Giannis Antetokounmpo back and is a fairly bad matchup for Memphis. 

Who has the edge for NBA betting? Find out with Grizzlies vs. Bucks picks and predictions for Saturday, April 17. 

Grizzlies vs Bucks odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

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The line opened at Milwaukee -8.5, with the total at 236.5. Early action has favored Memphis and been split on the total. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

Check out the full line movement for this game

Grizzlies at Bucks betting preview


Grizzlies: De’Anthony Melton SG (Questionable), Brandon Clarke PF (Questionable), Justise Winslow SF (Out).
Bucks: Donte DiVincenzo PG (Out). 
Find our latest NBA injury reports.

Betting trend to know

Over is 6-1 in Grizzlies’ last seven games overall. Find more NBA betting trends for Grizzlies vs. Bucks.

Against the spread (ATS) pick

This is going to be a tough game for Memphis on multiple levels. 

It starts at the point, where Ja Morant will have to deal with Jrue Holiday being in his jersey the entire night. Holiday is a nightmare defensive matchup for Morant, exactly the kind of high-energy pitbull that will stay in front of the Grizz PG and prevent the penetration that so much of their offense thrives on. 

Memphis also relies heavily on sound ball movement around the perimeter, which will be tougher with Holiday smothering the point of attack and good, long defenders like Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton in the passing lanes. 

Memphis has two main things going for it in this matchup. The first is depth, with a very capable supporting cast that can help offset the potential absences of Brandon Clarke and De’Anthony Melton, as well as negate potential fatigue on the second night of a back-to-back. With several guys who can step into those minutes seamlessly and relieve tired legs, the losses won’t be as damaging.

The Grizzlies will also likely win the battle of the boards. With Jonas Valanciunas simply feasting on the glass of late (14.25 rpg in March and April), Giannis may be forced to exert some extra rebounding effort so poor Brook Lopez (5.1 rpg) isn’t eaten alive. 

Memphis is unlikely to win this game, between the bad matchup and their recent penchant for choking down the stretch. But the spread is pretty damn big here, and we like them to keep things within eight points.

PREDICTION: Memphis +8.0 (-110)

Covers NBA betting analysis

Over/Under pick

The 236.5 total is fairly intimidating — it’s by far the biggest on the NBA betting board tonight. But there’s plenty of reason to believe it’s attainable.

The Bucks’ exploits on offense need little introduction at this point. They remain the NBA’s highest-scoring team at 119.2 ppg, while conceding a below-average 112.7 ppg.

Memphis has not-so-quietly also become a scoring juggernaut, averaging 120.5 ppg over their past nine contests. The Grizz have topped this total four times in their past six games, without the benefit of playing against the league’s highest-scoring squad.

Milwaukee sees totals in the 230s fairly regularly, and with both these teams playing at Top-10 paces, the points could pile up fairly quickly. 

PREDICTION: Over 236.5 (-110)

Player prop pick

Stay tuned for an additional prop pick when markets are live! 

Grizzlies vs Bucks betting card

  • Memphis +8.0 (-110)
  • Over 236.5 (-110)

Picks made on 04/17/2021 at 11:15 a.m. ET.

NBA parlays

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