Jazz vs Suns NBA Odds, Picks and Predictions April 30

Updated: April 30, 2021

Devin Booker and Chris Paul will meet less-than-expected resistance tonight when they face the Utah Jazz without its All-Star starting backcourt.

Photo By – USA TODAY Sports

Hands up if you had circled Friday’s encounter between Utah and Phoenix as a battle between the top two teams in the Western Conference before the season began.

(And if you raised your hand, you’re the worst liar ever.)

The Jazz and Suns look to punctuate stunning seasons as they tangle at PHX Arena with first place in the conference at stake. Utah owns a one-game lead over Phoenix and will be looking for revenge after dropping the first two meetings between the teams this season. 

These are our favorite NBA free picks and predictions for Jazz vs. Suns on April 30.

Jazz vs Suns odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

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The line opened at Phoenix -4.5, with the total at 225.5. Early action favored Utah, dipping the line to -3.5, before rebounding to opening, with action on the Under. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

Check out the full line movement for this game

Jazz at Suns betting preview


Jazz: PG Mike Conley (Out), SG Donovan Mitchell (Out), PF Royce O’Neale (Questionable).
Suns: PF Jae Crowder (Questionable), PF Dario Saric (Probable), SG Langston Galloway (Probable).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.

Betting trend to know

Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in the past five head-to-head meetings. Find more NBA betting trends for Jazz vs. Suns.

Against the spread (ATS) pick

The Suns are 4.5-point favorites in this one, and you can’t help but wonder if the number should be a bit higher with the Jazz missing their starting backcourt. Mike Conley and Donovan Mitchell will both sit this one out due to injury, and it’s an enormous loss for Utah, with the duo combining to average 42.8 points and 11.2 assists on the season.

They had little trouble dealing with those absences last time out, erupting for a franchise-record 154 regulation points in a 49-point laugher against Sacramento. The Suns, however, are not the Kings – and they have been positively dominant on their home court this season, having gone 24-9 at PHX Arena with an impressive plus-9.4 averaging scoring margin in friendly territory.

Overcoming the absence of two All-Star-caliber players is going to be too much for the Jazz, who probably should have saved some of that offense from their win over the Kings for this one.

PREDICTION: Suns -4.5 (-110)

Covers NBA betting analysis

Over/Under pick

The books have set this total in the low-220s, which falls right in between the outcomes of their previous two meetings. Utah had played to the Under in four consecutive games following that ridiculous blowout victory over the Kings, while Phoenix is on a 12-5 O/U heater over its last 17 games to move to 33-29 O/U for the season.

That mark is even more slanted toward the Over at home, where the Suns are 19-14 O/U overall. Yet, while that might compel some bettors to hammer the Over, Phoenix is actually 9-10 O/U against the West and 10-4 vs. the East. And with the Jazz still short-handed on offense, they’ll almost certainly look to limit the Suns’ possessions and try to win this one at a slower pace.

We expect this to much more closely resemble the first meeting between the teams (a 106-95 Phoenix triumph on New Year’s Eve) than the second one (a 117-113 Suns win on April 7).

PREDICTION: Under 221.5 (-110)

Player prop pick

We’ll keep this brief: Rudy Gobert is really good at rebounding. His 13.4 rpg average ranks second in the NBA, and he has been particularly effective in two meetings with the Suns this season, averaging 16 boards per night.

The Jazz will need Gobert to be their best player Friday night, and that means crashing the boards at both ends of the court to limit Phoenix’s second chances and give the Jazz a few extra possessions. We really like the Over on his rebound prop.

PREDICTION: Rudy Gobert Over 12.5 Rebounds (-128)

Jazz vs Suns betting card

  • Suns -4.5 (-110)
  • Under 221.5 (-110)
  • Rudy Gobert Over 12.5 Rebounds (-128)

Picks made on 4/30/2021 at 10:00 a.m. ET

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