Knicks vs Mavericks NBA Odds, Picks and Predictions April 16

Updated: April 16, 2021

Behind Julius Randle, the Knicks have been one of the NBA’s best surprises this season, and are currently riding a 7-0 ATS streak.

Photo By – USA TODAY Sports

It’s a busy Friday night of basketball with 11 games on the NBA betting slate, including a battle between the New York Knicks and Dallas Mavericks. 

The Knicks are currently in sixth place in the Eastern Conference while the Mavs are in seventh place in the West and both teams will no doubt be looking to end the season with a Top-6 finish and avoid the play-in tournament. 

Here are our best free NBA picks and predictions for the Knicks vs. Mavericks on Friday, April 16, with tipoff at 9:30 p.m. ET.

Knicks vs Mavericks odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Compare NBA odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

The line opened at Dallas -5, with the total at 211. Early action favored the Mavericks, moving their line to -5.5. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

Check out the full line movement for this game

Knicks at Mavericks betting preview


Knicks: Nerlens Noel C (Questionable), Mitchell Robinson C (Out).

Mavericks: Tyrell Terry G (Out).

Find our latest NBA injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Knicks are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games overall. Find more NBA betting trends for Knicks vs. Mavericks.

Against the spread (ATS) pick

The Mavericks are coming off a 114-113 win against the Grizzlies where an absurd buzzer-beating three-pointer from Luka Doncic helped Dallas avoid a three-game losing streak. 

Doncic has carried Dallas all season with 28.6 points, 7.9 rebounds, and 8.6 assists per game. But despite his heroics, the Mavs are a middling 10th in the league in offensive rating while ranking 17th in defensive rating. 

The Knicks have been one of the league’s biggest surprises this season, and despite ranking 22nd in offensive rating, they are two games above .500 thanks to some terrific defensive play. New York is third in the NBA in defensive rating and holds opponents to a league-best field goal percentage of 44.2.  

The Knicks are riding a four-game winning streak and are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games. With how well they’ve been playing recently and their tough defensive play, I’m surprised that they’re being spotted 5.5 points against an inconsistent Mavs squad. 

This is especially true when you consider that Dallas is just 6-11 ATS as a home favorite this season, while the Knicks are 13-7 ATS as an underdog on the road. Even with the Knicks’ last ATS loss coming in a 99-86 defeat against the Mavs two weeks ago, we have to take the Knicks at this number. 

PREDICTION: New York +5.5 (-110)

Covers NBA betting analysis

Over/Under pick

With an offense led by Doncic and former Knicks unicorn Kristaps Porzingis, you’d probably expect Dallas to fill up the bucket. However, the Mavs are a modest 19th in the league in scoring with 111.4 points per game. 

The Knicks haven’t exactly been shooting lights out either, even with forward Julius Randle (23.2 points, 10.6 rebounds, and 6 assists per game) emerging as a star. New York is 28th in the league in scoring with 105.6 ppg. 

That said, the Knicks have the league’s best scoring defense, holding opponents to just 104.2 ppg, and surprisingly the Mavs aren’t too far behind them in eighth place at 109.7 ppg.

Both of these teams also play at a very slow tempo with Dallas 26th in the league in pace and New York 30th. With the Mavs 10-1 to the Under in their last 11 games at home, back the Under. 

PREDICTION: Under 211 (-110)

Team Total Pick

You’ve probably noticed a common theme with how we’re leaning with our picks in this matchup, but oddsmakers don’t seem to trust the Knicks, so we’re going to keep backing their strong defensive play until it stops paying off. 

The Mavs’ team total for tonight is set at 108.5 and the Knicks have held foes to 106 points or fewer in 10 of their last 12 games. The only two opponents that scored more than 106 points against New York in that span were the Grizzlies in overtime and the second-highest scoring team in the NBA, the Brooklyn Nets.

Dallas averages 109.7 ppg at home and was held to 99 points when these teams met up on April 2. With the Knicks allowing just 103.6 ppg in away contests take the Under on the Mavs team total. 

PREDICTION: Dallas Team Total Under 108.5 (-110)

Knicks vs Mavericks betting card

  • New York +5.5 (-110)
  • Under 211 (-110)
  • Dallas Team Total Under 108.5 (-110)

NBA parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NBA Knicks vs. Mavericks picks, you could win $59.58 on a $10 bet?

Use our NBA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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