Knicks vs Nets NBA Odds, Picks and Predictions April 5

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Updated: April 5, 2021

LaMarcus Aldridge has scored 11 points in each of his first two games with the Nets, giving Brooklyn a legitimate scoring option out of the post.

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The Battle for the Big Apple between the New York Knicks and Brooklyn Nets tips off Monday’s NBA betting schedule, and all eyes are on the status of Brooklyn’s big names.

Nets superstars Kevin Durant and James Harden are questionable for this home games versus the Knicks, with both players nursing hamstring injuries that have sidelined them for extended periods. Durant, who has been out since mid-February, is expected back this week while Harden has been out since March 31 and has a better chance of returning versus New York. 

Here are our NBA free picks and predictions for Knicks vs. Nets on April 5.

Knicks vs Nets odds

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Brooklyn opened as big as -5.5 and dipped to -4 before some buyback on the Nets as that slimmer spread. The total hit the board at 217.5 and dropped to 216.5 before coming back up to its original number. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

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Knicks at Nets betting preview

Injuries

Knicks: Mitchell Robinson C (Out).
Nets: James Harden G (Questionable), Kevin Durant F (Questionable), Tyler Johnson G (Questionable), Landry Shamet G (Questionable).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings between the Knicks and Nets. Find more NBA betting trends for Knicks vs. Nets.

Against the spread (ATS) pick

The Nets have a huge week of home-court hoops coming, with a nationally televised game against New Orleans on Wednesday and a stand against the Los Angeles Lakers (or what’s left of them) on Saturday. But before those high-profile matchups, Brooklyn must deal with its noisy neighbors on Monday.

The Knicks snapped a three-game slide with a one-sided win at Detroit on Saturday and now play the middle stop of a three-game road trip at the Barclays Center, where they lost 117-112 but covered as 8.5-point underdogs back on March 15. New York has lost both meetings with the Nets this season but has yet to face their full “Big 3” and will likely escape that daunting task tonight.

Brooklyn head coach Steve Nash told the media he expects Durant to return this week and sat both he and Harden in Sunday’s 115-107 loss to Chicago. While I believe Durant may plan for Wednesday’s ESPN game with the Pelicans, Harden is more likely to be back versus the Knicks after practicing with the team on Saturday.

The Nets need Harden in the backcourt soon too, with new faces like Blake Griffin and LaMarcus Aldridge added to the roster recently. Since being traded from Houston to Brooklyn, Harden has served as more of a facilitator on offense, averaging 11.2 assists over his 33 games—which ties his career-high from the 2016-17 season. There’s a lot of chemistry to be cooked up for this star-studded lineup if the Nets are going to live up to the hype.

Even without Harden, Brooklyn isn’t a bad bet knowing the Nets need to get right this week. The Knicks’ best win in the past month was over a Giannis-less Bucks team and this club got small with the injury to center Mitchell Robinson in late March. New York struggles against the post-up, watching bigger foes boast a 51.7 percent scoring frequency against those offensive sets.

The Nets weren’t much of a post-up attack before adding the big bodies of Aldridge and Griffin, but Nash will look to get this new-look combo going early, especially with hi-low spacing and two bigs who are capable passers.

If you’re buying into Brooklyn, grab it early before the status of Harden (and possibly Durant) is made official. Even if only one is in action, the Nets will jump to bigger favorites by tipoff 7 p.m. ET).

PREDICTION: Brooklyn -4.5 (-110)

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Over/Under pick

As mentioned, the Nets have a lot of chemistry work to do on the offensive end and this matchup with the Knicks could serve as Steve Nash’s laboratory. He’s been tinkering with his lineups and should Harden be back on the court, Nash will ease his star shooting guard into action with very calculated rotations. Don’t expect an all-out assault from this stacked scoring attack.

The Nets offense, which ranks second in scoring in the NBA (118.7 ppg), has topped that benchmark just twice in the past dozen games, coinciding with injuries to Durant and Harden. Brooklyn has, however, turned up the intensity on defense in that stretch, giving up just 109.1 average points against (versus 114.3 points against on the season) and going 4-8 Over/Under.

As for New York, it’s the premier Under team in the NBA with an Over/Under count of 19-31 heading into Monday (62 percent Under). The Knicks run the slowest pace in the league (96.38) and continue to play lockdown defense on the other end, ranked first in points against as well as defensive field goal and 3-point percentage.

PREDICTION: Under 216.5 (-110)

Player prop pick

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Knicks vs Nets betting card

  • Brooklyn -4.5 (-110)
  • Under 216.5 (-110)

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