Masters 2021 Picks and Predictions

Updated: April 1, 2021

Covers Staff

Clock Icon Apr 1, 2021 – 1:40 PM ET

The 2021 Masters is back to its rightful spring schedule after being pushed to November last year, returning its status as the first major event of the PGA Tour season. And because of that prowess and prestige, it’s also the most heavily bet tournament of the year.

Sportsbooks roll out a long list of Masters odds to meet that demand, from outright winners to matchups to player and tournament props. We love it all, diving into the Masters field for the best value bets and live long shots. 

These are our favorite 2021 Masters picks and predictions as we head toward tee-off on Thursday, April 8. Check back each day for more of our best golf bets for Augusta National and watch for round-by-round picks as the tournament unfolds. Good luck!

Masters Picks

Patrick Cantlay +2,500

Cantlay’s Masters odds can be found between +2,000 and +2,500, which aren’t too shabby considering his recent success at Augusta National and current form. The 29-year-old boasts an average round of 69.3 for seven Top-20 showings in 11 events this season (2021), including a 17th-place finish at the 2020 Masters back in November in which he fired a score of 66 in Round 2. He placed ninth at Augusta in 2019, with weekend tallies of 64 and 68.

This season, Cantlay won the ZOZO Championship in October, placed second in the split-course American Express in January, and third in the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am in February. And while he missed the cut at the PLAYERS Championship, he showed some clutch putting in last week’s WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play before bowing out in the third round. He’s Top 50 in strokes gained putting, as well as approach and is sixth in strokes gained around the green—all vital metrics for the Masters.

Tony Finau +3,000

Finau sits just outside of the overall favorites to win the 2021 Masters, with his outright price between +2,500 and +3,000—which could change depending on his performance in the Valero Texas Open this weekend. Expectations are high heading into Augusta with Finau playing fantastic in 2021, posting five Top-10 finishes in a dozen events, including two runner-up placings at the Farmers Insurance Open and Genesis Invitational. 

Heading into the Valero Texas Open, the Utah native is a great combo of tee-box pop and approach precision, ranking 37th in average driving distance and 11th in SG: Approach. His putting, while not elite, isn’t terrible either. Finau finished T38 in the November Masters thanks to a second-round 75 but fired a 71 and 72 on the weekend to slide inside the Top 40. He posted efforts of T5 and T10 at Augusta in 2019 and 2018, respectively.

Cameron Smith +4,000

The outright odds on the Aussie are between +3,700 and +4,000, making him a tasty take as a live long shot to win the 2021 Masters. Smith is one of those guys who’s just at home at Augusta, finishing T2 in November’s tournament (67, 68, 69, 69) and placing T5 in 2018 (71, 72, 70, 66). So far in 2021, he’s 11th in birdie average (4.6), fourth in putts per round (27.98) and tied for 19th in strokes gained putting.

After a bumpy January, which saw Smith posted finishes of 24th, 62nd and missed cut at the Farmers Insurance Open, he’s been strong heading into the Masters. He finished fourth in the Genesis Invitational, 11th at the WGC-Workday Championship, and 17th at the PLAYERS Championship, including a Round 3 score of 65.

Masters Betting Stats that Matter

The way to conquer Augusta National is the same every year (and any season): players will need to be accurate with their approach shots and excel at the short game. Players have no hope of contending if they can’t hold the greens, and that task is never more challenging than it is at Augusta, where ruthless greens spit approach shots onto challenging run-off areas.

And those shots just off the green are no gimmes, either: These greens run as fast as any on tour. SG: Approach and SG: Around the Green are the most critical stats of the week, as is SG: Putting—long bombs off the tee won’t help players much if they can’t convert their shots afterward.

Masters 2021 Betting Card

  • Patrick Cantlay +2,500
  • Tony Finau +3,000
  • Cameron Smith +4,000

Where can I bet on the Masters?

With the Masters being the most popular golf event in North America, all sportsbooks and betting sites will offer Masters betting markets. The trick is finding one that is reputable, trustworthy, and has all the bells and whistles you’re looking for. Luckily, we’ve done that work for you. Check out our recommendations for the best golf betting sites before you deposit and start betting.

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