Michigan vs Michigan State Picks and Predictions for March 7

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Updated: March 7, 2021

The Michigan Wolverines clinched the Big Ten regular-season title by thumping Michigan State by 19 on Thursday, and they look to finish the season on a high note against the Spartans again today.

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It’s the final day of the regular season for college basketball betting and while conference tournaments and March Madness are still ahead of us, there’s no reason to ignore the terrific matchups scheduled this afternoon. 

The Michigan Wolverines will look to close their season with another big win as they face the Michigan State Spartans just three days after clobbering them in Ann Arbor. 

Can they cover the spread against their intrastate rivals again today? We let you know with our best free Michigan vs. Michigan State picks and predictions for Sunday, March 7, with tipoff at 4:30 p.m. ET.

Michigan Wolverines at Michigan State Spartans betting preview

Injuries

Michigan: None.
Michigan State: Foster Loyer G (Out).
Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Wolverines are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games as road favorites. Find more NCAA betting trends for Michigan vs. Michigan State.

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The line opened at Michigan -9, with the total at 136. Early action favored Michigan State and the Over moving the line to Michigan -8 and the total to 137.5. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

Check out the full line movement for this game

Against the spread (ATS) pick

We backed the Spartans as 12-point road underdogs on Thursday and boy were we ever wrong. Tom Izzo’s squad was wrecked by 19 points and looked dreadful on offense, shooting just 36 percent from the field and going 0 for 9 from long range.

We thought the Spartans would be heavily motivated by the fact that they sit on the bubble and need some strong performances to earn an at-large bid. Motivation, however, wasn’t enough to overcome their shortcomings in other areas. This year’s version of MSU simply isn’t very good. The Spartans have gone just 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games and rank outside the Top 200 in both scoring (69.5 points per game) and scoring defense (allowing 70.9 ppg).

Michigan, on the other hand, has been a juggernaut on both ends of the floor, ranking sixth in the nation in adjusted offensive efficiency (according to KenPom), while ranking fourth in adjusted defensive efficiency.

The Wolverines are 19-2 SU and 16-5 ATS and they travel very well, going 4-0 ATS in their last four away games and shooting 47.3 percent from the floor on the road this season. Look for Juwan Howard’s squad to cruise to another easy victory and back them on the spread. 

PREDICTION: Michigan -8 (-110)

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Over/Under Pick

These teams combined for just 119 points on Thursday, going well Under the total of 139.5. While the O/U for today has ticked down to 137, we still like the Under to hit.

The Wolverines are very strong on the offensive end of the floor thanks to Hunter Dickinson, Isaiah Livers and Franz Wagner, who all average at least 13 ppg. That said, they play at a slow pace and have been a terrific Under bet, going below the total in 10 of their previous 12 games.

Michigan plays terrific team defense, limiting foes to a field goal percentage of just 38.7 percent. Meanwhile, Tom Izzo’s team has made strides on the defensive end of the floor in recent weeks, holding Ohio State to 67 points and limiting Illinois’ high-scoring offense to 40 percent shooting from the floor.

The Spartans have played solid defense at home all season, holding foes to 67.8 ppg on 40 percent shooting. They have also gone 7-1 to the Under in their last eight games at the Breslin Center. Take the Under. 

PREDICTION: Under 137.5 (-110)

Michigan vs Michigan State betting card

  • Michigan -8 (-110)
  • Under 137.5 (-110)

NCAA parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NCAA Michigan vs. Michigan State picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our NCAA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on college basketball?

You can bet on college basketball odds at every online and casino sportsbook, including NCAA moneylines, spreads, Over/Under totals, and a ton of prop odds. Head over to our best sportsbooks for college basketball betting in your area.


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