Pacers vs Lakers Picks and Predictions for March 12

Updated: March 11, 2021

The L.A. Lakers’ struggles defending big men won’t get any easier out of the All-Star break, with Domantas Sabonis and the Pacers coming to Staples.

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The reigning NBA champions will start the second half of their title defense campaign by hosting the Indiana Pacers at the Staples Center. 

Led by LeBron James’ MVP-caliber start, L.A. has gotten out of the gates well, currently third in the Western Conference, despite a quick turnaround from the bubble and an injury to Anthony Davis. 

Can they start the second half of their schedule with an NBA betting win? Find out with our free Pacers vs. Lakers picks and predictions for March 12.

Indiana Pacers at Los Angeles Lakers betting preview


Pacers: T.J. Warren F (Out), Caris LeVert G (Out).
Lakers: Anthony Davis PF (Out), Marc Gasol C (Questionable), Alex Caruso SG (Questionable).
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Betting trend to know

Pacers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Find more NBA betting trends for Pacers vs. Lakers.

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The line opened at Lakers -4.5, with the total at 216.5. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

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Against the spread (ATS) pick

The All-Star break could not have come at a better time for the Lakers. Since Davis came out of the lineup, L.A. has been a shell of itself, winning just three of its last 10 games and going 4-6 ATS during that span. While the Lakers won’t be able to count on Davis coming out of the break, they will surely be hoping for a rejuvenated James, after he played sparingly in the All-Star game. 

The Pacers, similarly, limped into the break, having gone 1-5 over their last six and 0-6 ATS. At just 16-19 SU and 14-21 ATS on the season, Indiana has disappointed all season long as a member of the Eastern Conference’s middle class. While help is on the way, with T.J. Warren and Caris LeVert expected back at some point, it won’t help the Pacers against a rested James and the Lakers.

It would take a fairly sizable spread for us to go against LeBron in such a favorable spot. Should L.A. resemble the team that struggled over the first-half finish line, we’ll begin to be skeptical of it until Davis returns. After an extended break, however, the Lakers should once again look like champions. 

PREDICTION: Lakers -4.5 (-110)

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Over/Under pick

Given the Lakers’ recent form and their strength as a team coming on the defensive end, where they rank first in defensive rating and efficiency, it shouldn’t be too surprising to see a low total here. At 14-23 O/U on the year, the Lakers have routinely ground out games—something that remained true during their run into the break, where they went 4-6 O/U over their last 10. Without Davis’s hyper-efficient offense, it’s difficult to see L.A. improving its middling scoring or changing its recipe. 

Indiana has been more reliable for Over bettors in 2021, at 20-14-1 O/U and 7-3 in its last 10. However, it hasn’t exactly been lethal scoring either, sitting right alongside L.A. in the bottom half of the league in both offensive rating and efficiency. All-Star Domantas Sabonis will be able to dictate Indiana’s game in this one, but it won’t be enough for us to trust two average scoring teams to push a relatively low total Over.

PREDICTION: Under 216.5 (-110)

Player prop pick 

Check back later for a Pacers vs. Lakers prop pick when markets are live!

Pacers vs Lakers betting card

  • Lakers -4.5 (-110)
  • Under 216.5 (-110)

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