Pelicans vs Nuggets NBA Odds, Picks and Predictions April 28

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Updated: April 27, 2021

MVP candidate Nikola Jokic has led his Denver Nuggets to a 6-1 record since Jamal Murray’s season-ending knee injury.

Photo By – USA TODAY Sports

The New Orleans Pelicans will continue their attempt to claw into the play-in picture on Wednesday, against a Denver Nuggets team locked into the postseason but down a key contributor.

New Orleans and Denver have split the season series so far with mirroring scorelines, with the Pels taking the first game 113-108 before Denver got revenge a few days later.

Who will get the edge in the season series? Here are our best free NBA betting picks and predictions for Pelicans vs. Nuggets on April 28 at 9:00 p.m. ET.

Pelicans vs Nuggets odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Compare NBA odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

The line opened at Nuggets -4, with the total at 228.5. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

Check out the full line movement for this game

Pelicans at Nuggets betting preview

Injuries

Pelicans: James Johnson PF (Questionable), Steven Adams C (Questionable), Nickeil Alexander-Walker SG (Out), Josh Hart SG (Out).
Nuggets: Will Barton SG (Questionable), Monte Morris PG (Out), Jamal Murray PG (Out).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Pelicans are 0-5 against the spread in their last five games following an ATS win. Find more NBA betting trends for Pelicans vs. Nuggets.

Against the spread (ATS) pick

Denver has battled admirably since losing Jamal Murray for the season in mid-April, going 6-1 in its seven games without him. While the Nuggets have not been as steady against the spread, going 3-4, they could easily be 5-2, after failing to cover by a point against the Rockets and half a point against the Blazers. 

While Denver continues to fight without MVP favorite Nikola Jokic’s sidekick, it has been regular service in New Orleans for the wildly mediocre Pelicans in recent weeks. At 27-34 SU and ATS, the Pels have underwhelmed all season and, despite facing another year out of a play-in tournament crafted for them, they have barely shown any life going 5-5 SU and 4-6 ATS over their last 10. 

The Pelicans are a failure of roster building and coaching, with their stars afforded no spacing, interesting young players sat in favor of disinterested veterans and Zion Williamson only optimized because his impact as Point Zion became undeniable. The Nuggets, meanwhile, are quite the opposite — with Murray’s injury serving as further proof that Denver is one of the most well-run organizations in the front office and on the sideline. 

There’s no reason to believe New Orleans will show life now. With one of the league’s worst road teams entering one of the league’s hardest venues, we’ll happily take the favored Nuggets here.

PREDICTION: Nuggets -4 (-110)

Covers NBA betting analysis

Over/Under pick

The Nuggets may be 3-4 O/U without Murray, but their points per game over that stretch is actually 4.8 points higher than their season average. While there are a few pathetic defenses in that sample size, Denver will get the benefit of seeing another pathetic defense on Wednesday. New Orleans is 27th in defensive rating on the year and is yet to show any signs of improvement on that end of the floor, both individually and as a team.

The Pelicans’ nonexistent defense is part of why they have been such a fantastic Over bet on the season, as they sit 39-22 O/U. Another reason is Zion, who has emerged as one of the league’s most unstoppable and efficient offensive players. The Nuggets defend the paint well, but they won’t be able to stop the second-year phenom from getting his. While it won’t be enough to help a sad Pelicans team, it will be enough to help push this one Over.

PREDICTION: Over 228.5 (-110)

Player prop pick

Check back later for a player prop pick when markets are live!

Pelicans vs Nuggets betting card

  • Nuggets -4 (-110)
  • Over 228.5 (-110)

Picks made on 4/27/2021 at 7:50 p.m. ET

NBA parlays

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