Rays vs Angels MLB Odds, Picks and Predictions May 3

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Updated: May 3, 2021

The Tampa Bay Rays kick off a seven-game road trip against the Los Angeles Angels on Monday with ace Tyler Glasnow on the mound. 

In what would be a marquee pitching matchup, Glasnow is scheduled to take on Shohei Ohtani, but the dynamic two-way stud was hit by a pitch in the elbow in Los Angeles’ loss to the Texas Rangers on Sunday. Following the game, Angels manager Joe Maddon wouldn’t commit to starting him, so we aren’t likely to know his availability until later in the day. Let’s cross our fingers and hope we get this matchup.

How will that impact our bets? Find out with our best free MLB picks and predictions for Rays vs. Angels, with first pitched scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET in Anaheim. 

Rays vs Angels odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

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The moneyline opened as a -104 pick ’em, with the total set at 7.5. Early action has favored the Rays, moving the line to -120, while the Over/Under has gone up to 8.0 at some books. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

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Rays vs Angels betting preview

Starting pitchers

Tyler Glasnow (3-1, 1.67 ERA): Gerrit Cole, Jacob deGrom, and Corbin Burnes — those are the only pitchers who rank higher than Glasnow in WAR. He is fifth in ERA (fourth in FIP), sixth in strikeout rate, and sixth in WHIP. Any meaningful pitching stat is going to have Glasnow near the top of the leaderboard. Not only is his stuff elite, he’s turning into a workhorse for a Rays team that loves to utilize its bullpen, working six-plus innings in all but one start. In Glasnow’s worst outing of the season (five runs and his only two homers allowed) he still struck out 10. Enough said.

Shohei Ohtani (1-0, 3.29 ERA): Ohtani has the repertoire to dominate every time he gets the ball, but durability and control problems will continue to hold him back from reaching elite status. Still, the fact that one of the best hitters in the game is in the Angels’ rotation is remarkable. It’s even more amazing that’s he’s doing a good job. Ohtani has flashed brilliance with absolute gas and putaway secondary pitches, leading to 23 strikeouts in just 13 2-3 innings of work. He was touched up in his last start for four runs over five innings but issued a season-low two walks and still fanned nine batters.

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Rays: Collin McHugh RP (Out), Peter Fairbanks RP (Out), Ji-Man Choi 1B (Out).
Angels: Juan Lagares OF (Out), Felix Pena RP (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Rays are 14-5 in their last 19 meetings against the Angels. Find more MLB betting trends for Rays vs. Angels.

Moneyline pick

The Rays are coming off a much-needed win over the Houston Astros on Sunday, snapping a three-game losing streak and avoiding a sweep in the process. They’re 3-7 since reeling off a season-high five-game winning streak but get to start off their road trip against the Angels with their No. 1 arm.

Glasnow is a power pitcher who attacks hitters with elite velocity — a heater that sits upper-90s and can touch 100, and a hard slider just shy of 90 mph. He also has a devastating curveball that doesn’t get touched and has the swing-and-miss stuff that is capable of delivering a no-hitter on any given start. 

Ohtani has no-hit stuff, too, but he also has control issues. And he’s unlikely to go very deep, as he has thrown 92, 80, and 75 pitches in his three starts, just got dinged on his pitching elbow last night, and has been dealing with a blister. This is a potential letdown spot for Ohtani and, at the very least, a game the Angels are going to have to heavily rely on their bullpen.

Now that the Rays have taken the kid gloves off Glasnow (he only threw 100-plus pitches three times in 34 starts with Tampa Bay before this season but has reached that mark twice already this year), there might only be a handful of starting pitchers better or more valuable than him. He consistently gives his team a chance to win every time he gets the ball. 

We expect him to do just that tonight against the Angels. Back the Rays as a slight favorite.

PREDICTION: Rays (-110)

Covers MLB betting analysis

Over/Under pick

Glasnow has been dominant but runs into a top-tier offense for tonight’s game. Can the Angels, who rank third in slugging, second in FanGraphs’ weighted runs created plus, seventh in runs per game, and tied for fifth in homers, do damage against one of the American League Cy Young favorites? We wouldn’t bank on it. 

The fireballer has allowed one earned run or fewer in five of his six starts and has struck out 10-plus in half of those outings. He has good enough control and doesn’t get burned by the long ball — he ranks Top 10 in the AL in home-run-to-fly-ball rate — so capitalizing off him is a difficult task. Sure, any lineup that features the game’s best player in Mike Trout, alongside Anthony Rendon, Ohtani (if he’s given the green light to bat in this one), and hot-hitting Jared Walsh, can turn things sideways in a hurry. But Glasnow is elite and can silence any offense.

Ohtani, meanwhile, has done a good job at limiting runs but he’s walked a bit of a tightrope by averaging a free pass per inning. He’s countered that by punching out 15.15 hitters per nine innings (a rate that’s higher than Glasnow’s) and by not surrendering many hits — he has faced 62 batters and allowed just six hits. The 3.29 ERA won’t be sustainable, though, if the walks continue at that rate, no matter how good his offerings are.

But the stuff is great and only Jacob deGrom has thrown more 100-mph pitches than Ohtani and Glasnow. We’re going to see a lot of heat tonight.

Tampa’s bullpen has been worked hard (tied for first in the majors in innings) and hasn’t been great, though we’re banking on Glasnow going deeper into this game and helping limit how many arms the Rays need to turn to.

The total is a tough one, with both teams Top 5 in the AL at going Over. But this starting pitching matchup has the chance to leave a lot of zeros on the board before pitching changes are needed.

PREDICTION: Under 8.0 (-114)

Rays vs Angels betting card

  • Rays (-110)
  • Under 8.0 (-114)

Picks made on 5/03/2021 at 2:35 p.m. ET

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