Red Sox vs Mets MLB Odds, Picks and Predictions April 27

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Updated: April 27, 2021

Xander Bogaerts and the Boston Red Sox’s potent bats lead the AL in scoring, and they’ve been especially lethal against southpaws like Mets’ SP David Peterson, who they’ll face tonight.

Photo By – USA TODAY Sports

The MLB betting board has a full 15-game slate on Tuesday, including an Interleague matchup between the Boston Red Sox and New York Mets.

The Red Sox travel to the Big Apple with the best record in the AL East at 14-9 but are +130 road underdogs against the 9-8 Mets. 

Here are our best free Red Sox vs. Mets picks and predictions for April 27, with the first pitch at 7:10 p.m. ET. 

Red Sox vs Mets odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Compare MLB odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

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The line opened with the Mets installed as -149 favorites, with the total at 8.5. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

Check out the full line movement for this game

Red Sox vs Mets betting preview

Starting pitchers

Garrett Richards (0-2, 6.48 ERA): Richards is coming off a rough outing against the Blue Jays where he surrendered four runs and walked six batters in 4 2-3 innings. The 32-year-old showed plenty of promise earlier in his career but hasn’t looked the same seen undergoing Tommy John surgery in 2018.

David Peterson (1-2, 6.75 ERA): Peterson is fresh off a loss against the Cubs where he was shelled for six runs, three earned, before getting the hook midway through the third inning. The 25-year-old lefty had an impressive rookie year with the Mets in 2020, going 6-2 with a 3.44 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. 

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Red Sox: Alex Verdugo RF (Out), Christian Arroyo 3B (Out), Ryan Brasier RP (Out).
Mets: Dellin Betances RP (Out), Drew Smith RP (Out), Seth Lugo RP (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Red Sox are 6-1 in their last seven games vs. a left-handed starter. Find more MLB betting trends for Red Sox vs. Mets.

Moneyline pick

The Red Sox have the best record in the AL East but have gone a middling 5-6 in their last 11 contests after reeling off a nine-game winning streak. On the flip side, they are coming off a 5-3 win against the Mariners on Sunday and have gone 8-1 in their last nine games on the road.

The Mets are also leading their division, albeit with a 9-8 record because nobody else in the NL East is above .500. They are coming off a 4-0 win against the Nationals but have won just two of their previous six contests.

Both starters in this game have been very hit-and-miss (pun absolutely intended) this season, getting rocked in four out of seven of their collective starts. That said, Boston’s bullpen has looked better than the Mets bullpen, which is currently riddled with injuries. Red Sox relievers have pitched to 3.29 ERA with an opponent batting average of .219 while Mets relievers have a 4.31 ERA with an OBA of .258.

Meanwhile, the Sox have a massive advantage at the dish. Boston leads the majors with an OBS of .794 while ranking third in scoring with 5.17 runs per game. The Mets have an OPS of .697 while ranking just 28th in runs per game with 3.29. Back the better hitting team as slim underdogs. 

PREDICTION: Boston (+130)

Covers MLB betting analysis

Over/Under pick

The Mets might be near the bottom of the majors in runs per game but, at least on paper, they should be better. Proven hitters like Jeff McNeil and prized offseason acquisition Francisco Lindor have combined to bat just .200 while driving in 7 RBI in 110 at-bats. But their track record suggests they should eventually snap out of it. 

What’s perhaps most remarkable about the Red Sox hitting success this season is that they are averaging a whopping 3.78 runners left in scoring position per game (fifth-worst in MLB) and are still leading the AL in scoring.

Xander Bogaerts (.366 BA), J.D. Martinez (.370 BA with an MLB-leading 21 RBI), and Rafael Devers (6 HRs, 18 RBI) have all been raking for the BoSox.

Richards has been very up-and-down in his first season with Boston, looking sharp in a pair of starts against Baltimore and Minnesota but getting absolutely rocked in his two other outings—including his most recent start.

Peterson has been similarly inconsistent, looking great in one of his three starts this year but surrendering 12 runs over 7 1-3 innings in his other two games. 

It’s also worth noting that Boston’s sluggers have had plenty of success against southpaws, batting .279 with an OPS of .795 against left-handed pitchers. Back the Over.  

PREDICTION: Over 8.5 (-110)

Red Sox vs Mets betting card

  • Boston (+130)
  • Over 8.5 (-110)

Picks made on 4/27/2021 at 9:40 a.m. ET

MLB parlays

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