Spurs vs Mavericks Picks and Predictions for March 10

The Dallas Mavericks are suddenly one of the NBA’s hottest teams and will look to carry that momentum forward into the season’s second half as they open up at home against the San Antonio Spurs. 

The Spurs have been fairly steady and consistent this season (as if we should’ve expected any less from a Gregg Popovich squad), but can they contain the surging Mavs? 

Let’s find an edge for NBA betting as we delve into this matchup with our Spurs vs. Mavericks picks and predictions for Wednesday, March 10.  

San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks betting preview

Injuries

Spurs: Devin Vassell SG (Questionable), Rudy Gay F (Questionable), Derrick White PG (Questionable).
Mavericks: None.
Find our latest NBA injury reports.

Betting trend to know

Spurs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games played on three or more days rest. Find more NBA betting trends for Spurs vs. Mavericks.

Against the spread (ATS) pick

Dallas’ topsy-turvy season has hit another high, with the Mavs 9-2 SU over their past 11, even scoring a W (albeit over the Thunder) with Luka Doncic resting. They look to be rounding into form after gross inconsistency and multiple Kristaps Porzingis absences marred their first half. 

Doncic has been playing more efficiently on offense, trying harder on defense, and the Mavs have been getting consistent production from their supporting cast, particularly Jalen Brunson, who dropped 13.5 ppg on a stellar 54 percent from the field in February.  

San Antonio’s stock rests increasingly with its youth movement. The Spurs have a solid stable of two-way production but lack a true game-breaking talent on Doncic’s level. While the murky statuses of Derrick White, Rudy Gay, and Devin Vassell – still yet to be cleared from health and safety protocol – cast uncertainty on this matchup, the Spurs have plenty of depth waiting in the wings (literally).

Dallas beat San Antonio 122-117 in their previous meeting this year, but the Spurs lost Dejounte Murray in the opening minute, leaving them without their best two-way player. Having him in the lineup this time around will be a great Doncic deterrent. 

The Spurs are 6-2 ATS as underdogs of more than one possession (greater than +3) this season, suggesting they keep things close. Dallas may very well win this game, but winning it by six points is another story.

PREDICTION: San Antonio +5.5 (-110)

Over/Under pick

San Antonio is a tough Over/Under to pin, with some wildly inconsistent scoring patterns. 

The same Spurs team that averaged 100.5 ppg in two games vs. Oklahoma City (111.4 opponent ppg) also lit up New York (104.4 opponent ppg) for 119, all within its last five contests.

But the Mavericks are averaging 119.4 ppg over their last 10 (excluding Doncic’s outlier rest game where they scored just 87) and could drive the Over here themselves. The Spurs aren’t built for a shootout, but they’ve gone Over their projected team total of 107.5 seven times in their past 11 games.

Everyone’s legs will be fresh in this one – let’s see some buckets. 

PREDICTION: Over 219.5 (-110)

Prop pick

Stay tuned for an additional prop pick when markets become available!

Spurs vs Mavericks betting card

• San Antonio +5.5 (-110)
• Over 219.5 (-110)

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