Trail Blazers vs Heat Picks and Predictions for March 25

Updated: March 25, 2021

Led by the sharpshooting of Damian Lillard, the Blazers are second in the NBA in 3-point attempts per game this season.

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A losing streak will come to an end on Thursday night when the Portland Trail Blazers travel to South Beach to take on the Miami Heat.

Portland wrapped up a five-game homestand with back-to-back losses, while the Heat, who had briefly gotten back on track largely due to MVP-level play from Jimmy Butler, have lost four straight, with the last three coming at home.

So, who is going to get off the schneid in Miami? Find out in our free NBA betting picks and predictions for Trail Blazers vs. Heat on Thursday, March 25 at 7:30 p.m. ET.

Portland Trail Blazers at Miami Heat betting preview


Trail Blazers: Nassir Little SF (Questionable), Anfernee Simons SG (Questionable), Jusuf Nurkic C (Out), Zach Collins PF (Out).
Heat: Maurice Harkless SF (Questionable), Udonis Haslem PF (Questionable), Goran Dragic PG (Questionable), Avery Bradley SG (Out).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.

Betting trend to know

Trail Blazers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog Find more NBA betting trends for Trail Blazers vs. Heat.

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The line opened at Miami -3.5 with the total at 217.5. The spread hasn’t moved yet, but early action on the total has come in on the Over, moving it to 218.5. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

Check out the full line movement for this game

Against the spread (ATS) pick

Both Portland and Miami, due to injuries and other factors, have been frustratingly mediocre at times in 2021. They have undergone such similar campaigns that they are separated by just .09 in net rating, with the Blazers 20th at -1.26 and the Heat 21st at -1.35. 

The mediocrity that has plagued both squads holds true against the spread. The Blazers, 21-22 ATS on the year, are just 3-7 ATS over their last 10 games. The Heat have done even worse on the season, at 18-25-1, and are the same 3-7 mark over their last 10. 

In what should be a close game, we like Portland to find an edge. The lifeblood of the Blazers’ attack, seventh in offensive rating, is the three. Only the Jazz take a greater percentage of their shots from beyond the arc, edging Portland 48.5 percent to 47.2 percent (and that’s with the Blazers missing CJ McCollum, who is averaging a career-high 10.3 attempts from three per game this season, for nearly two months). Miami, meanwhile, allows the most attempts from three per game at 40.5. 

The Blazers have the best player in this game and we’ll always take the great offense, with math on our side, against a great defense. Miami’s skid will extend after this one.

PREDICTION: Blazers +3.5 (-110)

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Over/Under pick

With a human flamethrower in Damian Lillard and a horrendous defense, the Blazers should be a constant Over in 2021. However, they are just 23-20 O/U on the year and 5-5 O/U over their last 10. 

Miami’s O/U mark of 19-25 is a bit more indicative of who they are: a gritty, defense-first team, with an offense that can occasionally lose its bite, whether that’s due to cold shooting nights from Tyler Herro or Duncan Robinson, an inability from Jimmy Butler to get to the charity stripe, or a passive game from Bam Adebayo. The Heat have been even less reliable on offense recently, going 3-7 O/U over their last 10, with those three Overs coming on totals of 210.5, 206.5 and 216.5. 

While we like Portland’s scoring to lead them to a win in this one, it’s not enough to take the Over against a squad in Miami who can occasionally go cold. 

PREDICTION: Under 218.5 (-110)

First quarter prop pick

Check back soon for an additional prop pick when market is available! 

Trail Blazers vs Heat betting card

  • Blazers +3.5 (-110)
  • Under 218.5 (-110)

NBA parlays

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