UFC 263 Craig vs Hill Picks and Predictions

Updated: June 10, 2021

Paul Craig vs. Jamahal Hill pits contrasting styles against each other for UFC 263 betting. Get the lowdown on who holds the edge as we preview the fight with our Craig vs. Hill picks and predictions.

Posted: Jun 10, 2021 5:40 PM ET Updated: Jun 10, 2021 5:40 PM ET Est Time: 4 min

Paul Craig vs. Jamahal Hill is on the main card for UFC 263 betting on June 12.

This should be an intriguing matchup between opposing styles with the grappling specialist Craig facing off against an up-and-coming striker in Hill. UFC betting lines have Hill installed as a -310 favorite while Craig comes back at +240.

Here are our best free Craig vs. Hill picks and predictions for UFC 263 on Saturday, June 12 from the Gila River Arena in Glendale, Arizona.

Craig vs Hill fight odds

Method of Victory Paul Craig Jamahal Hill
Win Outright +240 -310
Win by KO/TKO +1,000 -120
Win by Points +750 +380
Win by Submission +550 +1,800
Draw +5,000 +5,000

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook as of June 10, 2021.

Craig vs Hill betting preview

Paul “Bearjew” Craig is the former BAMMA World Light Heavyweight Champion and is currently No. 14 in the UFC Light Heavyweight rankings. The 33-year-old is coming off a TKO win over Mauricio “Shogun” Rua and has gone 6-4-1 since joining the UFC in 2016. 

With a brown belt in BJJ, Craig is one of the most dangerous grapplers in the division, with 12 of his 14 career wins coming via submission. He has five submission wins in the UFC, including a last-second triangle choke against Magomed Ankalaev to hand Ankalaev the only loss of his career. 

Covers UFC 263 Betting Analysis

Jamahal “Sweet Dreams” Hill is the No. 15 ranked light heavyweight. After earning a UFC contract following a knockout victory on Dana White’s Contender Series, Hill had a very impressive 2020. Sweet Dreams had a unanimous decision win over Darko Stosic in his UFC debut in January before back-to-back knockouts against Klidson Abreu and Ovince Saint Preux. 

Although the TKO against Abreu was later changed to a no-contest because Hill tested positive for marijuana, the 30-year-old is still a perfect 8-0 in his MMA career with five wins by stoppage. Hill is a long, explosive striker with speed and knockout power. 

Craig vs Hill tale of the tape

Paul Craig   Jamahal Hill
33 Age 30
6-foot-3 Height 6-foot-4
206 lbs Weight 205 lbs
76 inches Reach 79 inches
14-4-1 (2 KO) Record 8-0-1 (4 KO)

Craig vs Hill UFC predictions and betting picks

PREDICTION: Hill by KO/TKO (-120) – Craig is a submission specialist and could certainly pull off a sneaky sub if this bout goes to the ground. However, his offensive wrestling isn’t the best and Hill has solid defense on the mat and the strength to resist takedowns. 

There are plenty of holes in Craig’s striking and he has been starched in the past by more athletic fighters with knockout power like Alonzo Menifield and Khalil Roundtree Jr.

Hill has the striking ability to give Craig fits and four of his last five fights (including the Abreu bout) have ended with him finishing his opponent by strikes. 

Where can I bet on UFC odds?

Most online sportsbooks and casinos offer bets on UFC odds and props. While odds to win usually come out as soon as a fight is announced, prop bets become more readily available closer to an event. Check out the best sportsbooks available where you live and see what UFC bets they have available.

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