UNC Greensboro vs Florida State March Madness Odds, Picks and Predictions March 20

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Updated: March 15, 2021

Jason Logan
Clock Icon Mar 15, 2021 – 10:56 AM ET

After losing in the ACC Tournament final, the Florida State Seminoles were dealt a No. 4 seed in the Big Dance and a first-round matchup with the No. 13 UNC Greensboro Spartans in the East Region of the NCAA Tournament Saturday.

The Seminoles are one of the biggest, most experienced and most versatile teams in the tournament field, ranked 10th in adjusted offensive efficiency. They’re big 11.5-point college basketball betting favorites versus the SoCon champions, who boast a strong and disruptive defense.

Read on for our free March Madness picks and predictions for UNC Greensboro vs. Florida State in the Round of 64 Saturday. 

UNC Greensboro vs Florida State odds

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Florida State opened as low as -11 and has been bet up to -11.5 with money on the favorite. The total opened at 145.5 points and has been bet down to 145 with action on the Under. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

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UNC Greensboro Spartans vs Florida State Seminoles betting preview

Injuries

UNC Greensboro: None.
Florida State: None.

Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Spartans are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games overall. Find more NCAA betting trends for UNC Greensboro vs. Florida State.

Against the spread (ATS) pick

The Seminoles back into March Madness on a bit of a slump. Florida State tripped up towards the end of the ACC schedule, with two losses in its final three games, and didn’t look strong in the conference postseason despite getting a free pass to the semifinals thanks to Duke’s positive COVID-19 test.

Turnover troubles were the biggest catalyst for FSU’s loss to Georgia Tech in the ACC Championship Game, coughing the ball up 24 times. On the year, Leonard Hamilton’s program turned the ball over an average of 14.3 times per showing and face a Spartans attack that is great at causing chaos.

UNC Greensboro – cut from a similar cloth as the Yellow Jackets – force nearly 15 turnovers per contest including an average of 4.9 steals (23rd). They also convert plenty of second-chance scoring opportunities (ranked second in the country with 7.5 per game). The Spartans press hard and disrupt opponents’ set playbooks, limiting them to just 11.3 assists an outing (62nd). 

On offense, the Spartans run everything through guard Isaiah Miller, who led the team in scoring (19.3 ppg) and assists (4.0 apg) while also pulling in 6.7 rebounds and a team-leading 2.6 steals per game. He’s been an inferno in recent outings, averaging 25.4 points over UNCG’s last five games, and can keep the Spartans within striking distance of this spread.

PREDICTION: UNC Greensboro +11.5 (-110)

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Over/Under Pick

As mentioned, Florida State has been on a bit of a downtick, currently with +5,000 March Madness odds to win it all. The Seminoles struggle to produce the same scoring output away from Tallahassee, most notably from beyond the arc. 

The Noles made 42.6 percent of their 3-point attempts at home, for an average of 9.5 triples in those contests. However, outside of the Donald L. Tucker Center, FSU’s long-range looks shrink to 33 percent success for an average of only 6.3 3-point makes. Florida State went 13 for 33 from distance in its two ACC Tournament games.

Hamilton will look to utilize the Seminoles’ size against the smaller Spartans, keeping UNC Greensboro off the offensive glass. The SoCon champs depend on those boards, pulling in 11.4 offensive rebounds per game, helping bolster those second-chance scoring opportunities. Florida State is the biggest team in college hoops, with an effective height metric of +2.2 at KenPom.com, and will challenge UNCG at the basket, swatting an average of 5.1 blocks per outing (12th).

PREDICTION: Under 145 (-110)

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Team prop pick

Outside of a cakewalk versus Boston College on Senior Night, in which FSU scored 93 points on 56 percent shooting, the Seminoles have posted point totals of 75, 69, 73, and 70 in four of their last five showings.

UNC Greensboro is a respectable 67th in adjusted defensive efficiency and will disrupt the set offense of the Seminoles, who struggled against a very similar defense versus Georgia Tech last weekend. 

Florida State posted only 73.8 points per game away from home on the year – compared to an average of 82.5 at home – and those turnover troubles and shooting discrepancy will keep it below the team total in the Round of 64.

PREDICTION: Florida State team total Under 78.5 (-110)

UNC Greensboro vs Florida State betting card

  • UNC Greensboro +11.5 (-110)
  • Under 145 (-110)
  • Florida State team total Under 78.5 (-110)

March Madness parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s March Madness UNC Greensboro vs. Florida State picks, you could win $59.58 on a $10 bet?

Use our March Madness parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on March Madness odds?

March Madness is one of the most popular times of the year for sports bettors, which of course makes it one of the busiest times of the year for online sportsbooks. Every betting site will offer March Madness odds but the top sites are safe and secure, offer a wide range of banking options, and give you a ton of markets for each game. Check out the best March Madness betting sites in your region.


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