Warriors vs Clippers Picks and Predictions for March 11

Updated: March 11, 2021

Kawhi Leonard and the Clippers need to light a fire after a mini-slump before the All-Star break left them on the brink of losing home-court advantage in the West playoffs.

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The Los Angeles Clippers may need to light a fire, as they staggered into the All-Star break at 4-6 SU in their last 10 games and were overtaken by the Phoenix Suns in the West playoff bracket. 

Speaking of the West playoffs, the Golden State Warriors are going to have to grind just to make it there, currently sitting ninth at 19-18 and hoping to gain the upper hand for a play-in spot. 

With both squads looking to start the second half on a good note, which team has the edge for NBA betting? Let’s dive into our Warriors vs. Clippers picks for Thursday, March 11.  

Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Clippers betting preview


Warriors: James Wiseman C (Questionable).
Clippers: None. 
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Betting trend to know

Under is 7-2 in Clippers’ last nine games playing on three or more days rest, and 6-1 in Warriors’ last seven overall. Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Clippers.

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The line opened at Clippers -7.5, with the total at 231.5. Early action favored Golden State and the Under. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

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Against the spread (ATS) pick

For a team that needed to set the tone this season, the Clippers haven’t exactly done an amazing job so far. Yes, they’ve had inspiring stretches, but also dropped four of their last five coming into the All-Star break. They look more like a team “playing for June” than a team “playing with everything to prove after an embarrassing playoff collapse.” They risk usurping by the Nuggets (who have grossly underperformed thus far) and the Blazers (who have arguably been the NBA’s most-injured team), and losing homecourt in the West would be a fairly depressing way for them to limp into the postseason.

The Warriors, meanwhile, have been more or less as advertised. Stephen Curry’s been a human blowtorch, Draymond Green’s proven last year was an outlier and he’s not washed yet, and Golden State as a unit has been on the West playoff fringe. 

The Clippers’ perimeter defense bodes well in this matchup. Patrick Beverley may not be the All-World soul-snatcher he once was, but is still an elite means of containing Curry (relative as that term may be). Kawhi Leonard and Paul George are also capable of switching onto Curry and should make life hell for Andrew Wiggins and Kelly Oubre in the interim. That’s over 55 percent of Golden State’s per-game points smothered by very good defenders.

And while Oubre and Wiggins aren’t the sieves they used to be on defense, they’ll struggle in their own right trying to contain two of the NBA’s most dynamic scorers in Leonard and George. 

The Clippers certainly have the greater impetus to win here, match up well, and should benefit more from rest given their veteran-heavy rotation and propensity to load-manage. Back them to start the second half on a strong note. 

PREDICTION: Los Angeles -7 (-110)

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Over/Under pick

There’s plenty of conflicting data when trying to mine a safe total bet for this game. 

For example, the Warriors play at the NBA’s second-fastest pace, while the Clippers play at its second-slowest.

Somewhat counter-intuitively (and also conflicting for this bet’s purpose), Golden State is the league’s 27th-ranked team against the Over (15-22), while L.A. sits fifth at 22-15. 

The Clippers have been a highly mercurial team when it comes to totals, with outliers all over the map. They totaled just 205 points against a 231 O/U vs. Milwaukee, but also engaged in a 244-point shootout with the Knicks against a 210.5 total in a game that, on paper, seemed like a custom-baked Under recipe. 

It really wouldn’t surprise us to see this one go either way, but the Clippers need to wake up on D. They’re the NBA’s 18th-ranked defensive team after being fifth in the same category last year. After a week of rest and reflection, and with a favorable matchup against Golden State’s gunners, count on them to flex that edge and keep this one Under a reasonable total. 

PREDICTION: Under 231.5 (-110)

Warriors vs Clippers betting card

  • Los Angeles -7 (-110)
  • Under 231.5 (-110)

NBA parlays

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