Warriors vs Mavericks Picks and Predictions for February 6

Updated: February 6, 2021

Luka Doncic and the Mavs were spanked by Golden State Thursday night, but both the books and Covers are expecting a much closer game this time around.

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The Warriors went into Dallas and beat the Mavericks by 31 points on Thursday, but the Mavs now have a chance to put that behind them by avenging that loss immediately. The two will meet again at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas Saturday, February 6. The game tips at 8:30 p.m. ET. 

Will Golden State earn back-to-back road victories over Dallas? Or will Rick Carlisle’s group respond with a big win? Find out in our Warriors vs. Mavericks picks and predictions. 

Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks Mavericks Betting Preview


Warriors: F Eric Paschall (questionable), C Kevon Looney (out), C James Wiseman (out), C Marquese Chriss (out)
Mavericks: No injuries to report. 
Find our latest NBA injury reports.

Betting Trend to Know

The Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as road underdogs.  Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Mavericks.

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The line opened at Dallas -4.0, with the total at 231. Early action has been split on the spread, with slight action to the Over. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

Check out the full line movement for this game

Against the Spread (ATS) Pick

Despite the Warriors beating the Mavericks by 31 on Thursday, the oddsmakers haven’t changed their feelings on these two teams. Dallas was a 3.5-point favorite in that game, and depending on where you’re looking, the spread is essentially the same in this one. That suggests that Vegas isn’t going to overreact to what happened in that game. And if the public wants to back Golden State because of that blowout victory, the oddsmakers are comfortable with it. 

On top of the Mavericks looking like the sharp play, they’re also just the better team. Yeah, Golden State was able to blow them out last game, but the Warriors are depleted at center right now. That was not a problem in the last meeting between these teams, but a lot of that had to do with Kelly Oubre Jr. pouring in 40 points, despite averaging just 13.3 points per game on the year. The Warriors also shot 51.2 percent from the outside, and they did so on 43 attempts. That’s not likely to happen again. 

Rick Carlisle is one of the best basketball minds in the world, so you should count on him watching the tape from Thursday and figuring out some adjustments. He should be able to scheme some ways for Dallas to take advantage of Golden State’s lack of size. It also wouldn’t be surprising if he puts Kristaps Porzingis in more of a position to succeed defensively. Porzingis is coming off knee surgery and he just isn’t moving well in space right now. 

Dallas likely needs to move to drop coverage with Porzingis in pick and rolls, and Dallas could go to some modified zone looks until Porzingis regains his pop as an athlete. Sure, Steph Curry is probably the best gunner of all time, but the Mavericks shouldn’t be too worried about the rest of the Warriors’ shooters. They won’t have career nights every night. 

PREDICTION: Mavericks -4.0 (-110)  

Over/Under Pick

Not only are the Warriors not going to shoot 57.3 percent from the floor and 51.2 percent from three again, but the Mavericks are going to make some sound defensive adjustments heading into this game. On top of that, look for Dallas to slow things down a bit in this one. With Golden State playing without most of its bigs, it doesn’t benefit the Mavericks to try to run with them. If this game is less of a shootout, that benefits Luka Doncic & Co. And despite the post-up game’s declining relevance, the Mavericks might want to go inside a bit more here. That would eat up some clock and help the Under. 

PREDICTION: Under 231.0 (-110) 

Player Prop Pick

Before scoring only six points against the Warriors on Thursday, Josh Richardson had averaged 19.0 points per game in his previous two contests. With Tim Hardaway Jr. now coming off the bench, Richardson is now spending more time in the spots he’s comfortable in, and the only reason he struggled against Golden State is that he simply wasn’t converting on good looks. Look for Richardson to get back on track here. This total isn’t very high for a player of his caliber. 

PREDICTION: Josh Richardson Over 13.5 Points (-104) 

Warriors vs Mavericks Betting Card

  • Mavericks -4.0 (-110)
  • Under 231.0 (-110) 
  • Josh Richardson Over 13.5 Points (-104) 

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