Will Mavericks and Kings plod way to under? 3/27/18

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Updated: March 27, 2018

Mavericks vs. Kings Pick

NBA Predictions: Will Mavericks and Kings plod way to under? 3/27/18

Are the slow-tempo Dallas Mavericks and host Sacramento Kings going to keep the score under the betting total tonight when they meet at 10PM ET?

771 Dallas Mavericks at 772 Sacramento Kings, 10PM ET

CURRENT ODDS

According to oddsmakers at YouWager, the Kings are a 2.5-point favorite on the spread line. The total sits at 202 points.

Bet NBA Action For Tuesday, March 27, 2018

LINE MOVEMENT

Sacramento opened as a 2-point favorite before a hook was added, while the total has dropped from 205 points. The Kings seem to have settled as a 2.5-point favorite everywhere for now, while the total is 202 or 202.5 at most books but can also be found at 201.5.

PUBLIC BETTING

As of Tuesday afternoon, 71 percent of public bets are pouring in on the Kings. Online wager info also says that 53 percent of bets are being placed on the under.

INJURY TO WATCH

Mavericks center Dirk Nowitzki (knee) is probable), while center Dwight Powell (knee) is questionable). Point guard JJ Barea (personal) will be out tonight. Shooting guards Wesley Matthews (leg) and Seth Curry (leg) are out for the season. For Sacramento, power forward Zach Randolph (illness) and small forward Garrett Temple (ankle) are both questionable. Shooting guard Iman Shumpert (foot) is out indefinitely. Power forward Harry Giles (knees) is out for the season.

BETTING STRATEGY

Dallas is 39-33-1 on unders this season, while the Kings are 35-38-1. The last two meetings this season have hit the over, but the two squads showed they are fully capable of playing a low-scoring game against each other when Sacramento won 93-88 in Dallas back on October 20. Sacramento hasn’t scored more than 98 points in four of its last five games, but are favored to win here. I think we’re in line for a game where neither team breaks 100.

 

NBA DAILY PREDICTION: MAVERICKS/KINGS UNDER 202



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