Wizards vs Grizzlies Picks and Predictions for March 10
Ja Morant destroyed the Wizards for 35 points and 10 assists when these teams met on March 2, leading Memphis to an easy win and cover.
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The NBA season’s second half kicks off Wednesday night with a pair of somewhat-subdued matchups, including this one, as the Washington Wizards visit the Memphis Grizzlies.
These two squads faced off March 2, with Memphis winning easily, 125-111, spoiling Washington’s relative hot streak. Can the Wizards provide some value for NBA betting this time around?
Let’s break down the matchup with our Wizards vs. Grizzlies picks and predictions for Wednesday, March 10.
Washington Wizards at Memphis Grizzlies betting preview
Injuries
Wizards: Ish Smith PG (Out).
Grizzlies: Grayson Allen SG (Out).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.
Betting trend to know
Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Find more NBA betting trends for Wizards vs. Grizzlies.
The line opened at Memphis -1.5, with the total at 236.5. Neither line has budged as of yet. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!
Check out the full line movement for this gameAgainst the spread (ATS) pick
The books may be giving the Wizards a bit too much credit here, after their pseudo-streak over the last few weeks that, at first glance, looks fairly impressive. Washington has beaten some tough teams, but has also benefitted from opponent rest and injuries, cadence, and likely a slight element of nonchalance from foes.
Before their March 2 matchup, we noted that the Wizards would have trouble containing Ja Morant, who promptly gored them for 35 points and 10 assists, getting into the paint at will. De’Anthony Melton chipped in 20 points on a totally-unsustainable 6-10 from beyond the arc, but Memphis’ balanced secondary can derive that offense in aggregate from others.
Memphis has several competent defenders to sic on Bradley Beal. They’ll also have Kyle Anderson (second on the team with a 2.8 box plus-minus) back for this game, after missing the March 2 matchup.
The Grizzlies are gaining some momentum after a shaky start to the season. At 4-1 ATS in their last five, they’ve netted three blowout wins and a brutal one-point loss to the Bucks. They match up reasonably well with Washington on both sides of the ball, and while this game will likely be closer than these teams’ last matchup, we still think 1.5 points is a fair spread.
PREDICTION: Memphis -1.5 (-110)
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Over/Under pick
These teams needed a scoring flurry in the fourth quarter to hit 236 in their last meeting, which either snuck Over the number or fell short, depending on where you bet it. The result was largely due to an anomalous third quarter, which totaled just 47 points, while the other three saw 63 on average.
The Wizards’ woes on D are well-chronicled: on paper, they’re the 27th-ranked defensive team in the NBA. In practice, Morant is a nightmare matchup for their Swiss-cheese backcourt, and Washington playing at the NBA’s fastest pace will only compound those issues and provide more opportunities for Memphis to run up the score.
This total is certainly gaudy enough that you may want to see if action comes in on the Under and buys you a couple of points, but for our purposes right now, it’s tough to see Washington staying disciplined enough to keep the Grizzlies from running amok.
PREDICTION: Over 236.5 (-110)
Prop pick
Check back soon for an additional prop pick when markets are available!
Wizards vs Grizzlies betting card
- Memphis -1.5 (-110)
- Over 236.5 (-110)
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