76ers vs Warriors Picks and Predictions for March 23

Updated: March 23, 2021

Ben Simmons and the 76ers have held serve without MVP candidate Joel Embiid, going 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS since their big man went down.

Photo By – USA TODAY Sports

In what otherwise might be a high-profile NBA betting matchup, the Philadelphia 76ers visit the Golden State Warriors, both without their superstar leaders. 

Stephen Curry and Joel Embiid will remain sidelined for this contest, meaning both these squads will have to do more with less.

Let’s find out which is better equipped for this short-handed battle as we break down our 76ers vs. Warriors picks and predictions for Tuesday, March 23.

Philadelphia 76ers at Golden State Warriors betting preview


76ers: Joel Embiid C (Out), Seth Curry SG (Out).
Warriors: Steph Curry PG (Out), James Wiseman C (Questionable), Eric Paschall PF (Questionable).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.

Betting trend to know

76ers are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Find more NBA betting trends for 76ers vs. Warriors.

The line opened at Philadelphia -3.5, with the total at 222.5. Early action has been split on the spread, but favoring the Under. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

Check out the full line movement for this game

Against the spread (ATS) pick

Steph Curry is out for this game, which is really all we should need to write. 

The Warriors have been inconsistent at best this season, even with Steph in tow, and now they’re getting a barely-two-possession headstart against the best team in the East, who has looked surprisingly competent despite losing an MVP front-runner. 

The 76ers are 4-1 SU since Embiid went down March 12, while also missing fellow All-Star Ben Simmons for a couple of games. Their only loss in that stretch came by four points to the suddenly white-hot Bucks. 

Philly’s defense has continued to capably clamp down on opposing attacks, conceding just 101.8 ppg since the Embiid injury, a mark that would lead the league by a comfortable margin across the whole season.

And hoping for Golden State to topple that kind of resistance without Curry is a pure fool’s errand. The Warriors have managed two wins since Curry went down, and both can be written off as outliers. In one game they beat the Houston Rockets, which the Rockets’ previous 20 opponents (prior to last night) had all managed to do. In the other win, against Memphis, they got 86 combined points from Andrew Wiggins, Damion Lee and Jordan Poole, the odds of which recurring are…not great.

The presence of Simmons and Tobias Harris should be enough to lead Philly to a comfortable win in a spot where they also have the more cohesive and consistent supporting cast, while (dare we say it) Steve Kerr’s pedestal as the Warriors’ infallible bench boss might be starting to show some cracks. Life’s a little more difficult when you don’t have four All-Stars and a near-perfect bill of health. 

We’d be remiss if we didn’t mention Philly’s massive disparity in home-vs-away performance (19-4 at home, 11-9 on the road), but the spread more or less suggests that, and we feel confident in them clearing the 3.5 margin. 

PREDICTION: Philadelphia -3.5 (-110)

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Over/Under pick

The narrative for this game would certainly seem to suggest an Under at first glance, and prying a bit deeper, we see no reason to deviate. 

As mentioned above, the Sixers have been an elite defensive unit. Sure, two of their post-Embiid games have been against the Under-magnet New York Knicks, but Philly has also held speed demons like the Bulls and Wizards to 105 and 101 points, respectively, while holding Milwaukee – who for argument’s sake is a hair away from the league lead in scoring – 11 points under its season average. 

Golden State sure as hell knows it’s not built to win a shootout without Curry, and is likely going to have to dig in on the defensive end, where it ranks seventh in rating on the season. Philadelphia maintains its pristine second-overall defensive rating.

Given that Golden State has managed 106 ppg sans Curry even with the outlier efforts mentioned in our ATS pick, it’s a safe bet they don’t hold up their end of the bargain for the total. And even though both these teams play at Top-10 paces for the season, count on Golden State’s impetus to lean towards a slower tempo. 

PREDICTION: Under 222.5 (-110)

Prop pick

Stay tuned for an additional prop pick when markets become available!

76ers vs Warriors betting card

  • Philadelphia -3.5 (-110)
  • Under 222.5 (-110)

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