Abilene Christian vs UCLA March Madness Odds, Picks and Predictions March 22

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Updated: March 21, 2021

Clock Icon Mar 21, 2021 – 11:25 AM ET

The rest of the East Region has gone pretty much according to plan, but don’t tell that to the No. 11 UCLA Bruins or the No. 14 Abilene Christian Wildcats, who have stunned their way into a Round of 32 matchup Monday.

The Bruins have momentum after clawing their way out of the First Four on Thursday and upsetting No. 6 BYU in the opening round. The Wildcats gave us one of the biggest shockers of the NCAA Tournament, taking down Big 12 Tournament champ Texas as 8.5-point college basketball betting underdogs Saturday.

Don’t miss our free March Madness picks and predictions for Abilene Christian vs. UCLA on March 22.

Abilene Christian vs UCLA odds

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UCLA opened as a 4.5-point favorite and was bet up to -5 with early action on the Bruins. The Over/Under total opened at 133.5 and has slimmed to 133 with money on the Under. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

Check out the full line movement for this game

Abilene Christian Wildcats vs UCLA Bruins betting preview

Injuries

Abilene Christian: None.
UCLA: Jalen Hill F (Out).
Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Under is 5-1 in the Bruins’ last six games vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600. Find more NCAA betting trends for Abilene Christian vs. UCLA.

Against the spread (ATS) pick

The Bruins have been firing on all cylinders in their two tourney games, shooting a collective 59 for 125 (47 percent) from the field in wins over Michigan State and BYU, including a near-46 percent clip from beyond the arc (17 for 37). That hot hand will be put to the test by one of the best defensive programs in the country in Abilene Christian.

The Wildcats rank 24th in KenPom’s adjusted defensive efficiency and are extremely stingy when it comes to giving shooters space on the perimeter. Abilene Christian held foes to only 29 percent success from beyond the arc during the season, with an average of just 5.1 3-pointers against. The Wildcats defied March Madness odds by clamping down on Texas Saturday, holding the Longhorns to 7 of 20 from outside (35 percent)—below their season average of 8.6 triples an outing.

Abilene Christian’s defensive intensity is fueled by a rich rotation that ranks 53rd in bench minutes and goes five deep down the pine. The Wildcats will put the Bruins’ reserve tanks to the test, playing their third NCAA Tournament game in five days come Monday night.

The Wildcats are one of the best bets in college hoops, boasting an 18-6 ATS mark this season, and added another payday to the pile with an outright win as 8.5-point dogs versus Texas. Abilene Christian may not have another stunner in them…but they will keep this closer than bookies expect.

PREDICTION: Abilene Christian +5 (-110)

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Over/Under Pick

As good as UCLA’s offensive touch has been the past two games, with guard Johnny Juzang as the catalyst, the Bruins are a defense-first program under Mick Cronin.

They’ve been a different team since the halftime break versus Michigan State in the play-in round, locking down the Spartans to only 33 points in the final 20 minutes of regulation then tightening even more for just three points allowed in overtime. UCLA carried that defensive prowess into the matchup with BYU, holding the Cougars to 27 first-half points and protecting the perimeter with only three made triples from a BYU team that’s among the best long-range attacks in the country.

Perhaps the best defense UCLA can play against Abilene Christian is on offense—by taking care of the basketball. The Wildcats thrive on converting points off of turnovers, as displayed against Texas Saturday. They’re No. 1 in turnovers per game on the year at 19.2 and forced the Horns to cough the ball up 22 times in the Round of 64, exchanging those for 23 of their 53 total points scored.

The Bruins average less than 11 turnovers per contest and have been especially protective of the ball during the postseason, posting turnover totals of just eight and three in their two tourney tilts. The Wildcats rank fourth in extra-scoring chances in the land but will find those easy buckets tough to come by Monday night.

PREDICTION: Under 133.5 (-110)

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Team prop pick

Abilene Christian has won the “First To 15” prop in four of its five postseason games, including edging Texas 15-11 on Saturday night.

The Wildcats made quick work of this race to 15 prop in three of their four Southland Tournament games and will ride that energy into the opening minutes of Monday’s matchup with UCLA.

Abilene Christian is 7-3 in the “First to 15” market in its past 10 games overall.

PREDICTION: First to 15 – Abilene Christian (+105)

Abilene Christian vs UCLA betting card

  • Abilene Christian +5 (-110)
  • Under 133.5 (-110)
  • First to 15 – Abilene Christian (+105)

March Madness parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s March Madness Abilene Christian vs. UCLA picks, you could win $64.71 on a $10 bet?

Use our March Madness parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on March Madness odds?

March Madness is one of the most popular times of the year for sports bettors, which of course makes it one of the busiest times of the year for online sportsbooks. Every betting site will offer March Madness odds but the top sites are safe and secure, offer a wide range of banking options, and give you a ton of markets for each game. Check out the best March Madness betting sites in your region.


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