Arkansas vs Kentucky Picks and Predictions for February 9

Updated: February 9, 2021

Arkansas allows 83 points per game on the road versus just 63 points per game at home. That has led to the Razorbacks hitting the Over in five of six road games this season.

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An SEC showdown highlights Tuesday’s college basketball betting board when the Arkansas Razorbacks visit the Kentucky Wildcats at Rupp Arena.

Arkansas enters this matchup having won four of its last five contests (3-2 ATS), including four straight victories versus conference foes. Kentucky, on the other hand, is in the midst of a three-game skid and has only one victory in its last seven outings.

These are our NCAA basketball betting free picks and predictions for Arkansas vs. Kentucky on February 9.

Arkansas Razorbacks at Kentucky Wildcats Betting Preview

Key Injuries

Arkansas: Justin Smith F (Questionable), Jaylin Williams F (Questionable), Desi Sills G (Questionable).
Kentucky: None to report.
Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.

Betting Trend to Know

The Over is 13-3 in Razorbacks’ last 16 road games. Find more NCAA betting trends for Arkansas vs. Kentucky.

Kentucky opened as a 1-point home underdog but has moved to -2 with money on the Wildcats and question marks around some of Arkansas’ key players. The total opened 141.5 points and has jumped to 142.5. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

Check out the full line movement for this game

Against the Spread (ATS) Pick

It’s going to feel weird not hearing the Wildcats called out on Selection Sunday but that’s where hoop heads are headed—save for a UK run to the SEC tournament title. Kentucky not only has one lonely win in its last seven showings but has also mustered a 1-6 mark against the spread in that span.

Arkansas would have likely been without guard Desi Sills and forward Jaylin Williams when the team was scheduled to face Texas A&M on the weekend, but the game was postponed due to COVID-19 issues with the Aggies. The Hogs haven’t played since knocking off Mississippi State on February 2 and that hiatus has also allowed standouts Justin Smith and Moses Moody to heal up after they’ve been playing through ankle injuries in recent contests.

While the status of some of those players is up in the air for Tuesday night, Arkansas will show the benefits of that impromptu break. The Razorbacks have one of the deepest scoring attacks in the country, averaging 82.7 points per game on the year, with five players posting 10.6 points per game or more.

Kentucky’s defense – notably at Rupp – is dismal. It allows visitors to post almost 71 points on 42.4 percent shooting per homestand. Arkansas is one of the best first-half offenses in the land, posting almost 39 points in the opening 20 minutes. The Wildcats have let visiting teams start hot, with 36.3 points allowed in the opening frame in Lexington this season.

The well-rested Razorbacks will break the backs of UK early on, and watch the disinterested Wildcats come apart in the second half.

PREDICTION: Arkansas +2 (-110)

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Over/Under Pick

Kentucky has struggled mightily this season but there’s no denying the raw talent on this roster. And that young group, which ranks 341st in experience, is starting to grow into the college game.

COVID-19 cancellations and limited practices have slowed that maturation, but UK is seeing an uptick in offensive production, averaging 70.5 points over the past four games—three of which went Over the total.

The Wildcats are shooting just under 41 percent in those contests but have done a great job getting to the foul line and cashing in those freebies with the clock stopped (which is gold to Over bettors). Kentucky, which averages about 22 free throws per home contest, is a collective 62 for 78 from the stripe in the past four games, knocking down free throws at a 75.5 percent clip—an increase from 72 percent on the year.

Arkansas gives up almost 21 free throws per road game this year – compared to only 17.6 at home – and has seen its defensive intensity dip when playing away from Fayetteville. The Hogs allow 83 points per road game versus just 63 points per game at home—a 20-point difference. Arkansas, which holds visitors to 38 percent shooting but allows foes to fire at over 48 percent in their own gyms, is a remarkable 5-1 Over/Under on the road this season (vs. 5-6-1 O/U at home).

PREDICTION: Over 142.5 (-110)

Arkansas vs Kentucky Betting Card

  • Arkansas +2 (-110)
  • Over 142.5 (-110)

NCAA Parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NCAA Arkansas vs. Kentucky picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our NCAA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where Can I Bet on College Basketball?

You can bet on college basketball odds at every online and casino sportsbook, including NCAA moneylines, spreads, Over/Under totals, and a ton of prop odds. Head over to our best-suggested sportsbooks for the top spots to bet on college basketball odds in your area.

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