Avalanche vs Golden Knights NHL Odds, Picks and Predictions June 6

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Updated: June 5, 2021

The Vegas Golden Knights will look to even their second-round series against the Colorado Avalanche on Sunday, after a Game 3 win in front of their home crowd helped them to avoid a 3-0 hole.

With Vegas outplaying Colorado in two straight games, can the Avs do anything to flip the script and take a 3-1 series lead back home? Find out in our free NHL betting picks and predictions for Avalanche vs. Golden Knights on June 6. 

Avalanche vs Golden Knights game info

Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Date: Sunday, June 6, 2021
Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
TV: NBCSN, Sportsnet, TVAS

Avalanche vs Golden Knights odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

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The line opened at Golden Knights -115/Avalanche -105, with the total at 5.5. Early action favored Vegas and the Under. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

Check out the full line movement for this game

Avalanche vs Golden Knights series odds

Avalanche: -405
Golden Knights: +278

Avalanche vs Golden Knights betting preview

Injuries

Avalanche: Nazem Kadri F (Out).
Golden Knights: Mattis Janmark F (Questionable), Tomas Nosek F (Questionable), Brayden McNabb D (Out).
Find our latest NHL injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between the Golden Knights and Avalanche. Find more NHL betting trends for Avalanche vs. Golden Knights.

Moneyline pick

For the second straight game, the Vegas Golden Knights have far outplayed the Avalanche. This time, after a heroic performance from Philipp Grubauer stole the show in Game 2, they were rewarded for it. While Colorado looked like it may yet again steal a game, two quick third period goals for Vegas turned the game around and got the Knights back in the series.

Though the Avalanche were leading in the final frame and lost by just one goal, that doesn’t nearly tell the story of the Knights’ resurgence. Since being hammered 7-1 in Game 1, Vegas has dominated play. 

Over the last two games, the Knights lead the Avalanche in expected goals, 7.49 to 4.84. They have out-shot Colorado, 84-45. The Knights have created seven high-danger chances and 21 medium-danger chances, compared to two and 20 for the Avs. 

Perhaps most surprising of all, however, is the way they have corraled Colorado’s top line. After averaging 6.4 points per game through five postseason appearances, Miko Rantanen, Gabriel Landeskog and Nathan MacKinnon have combined for just four points in their last two games. The most dominant line to begin the playoffs has become an afterthought in a series they’re being outplayed in. 

As Game 2 proved, between the Avalanche’s depth of talent and Grubauer delivering in net, Colorado can steal a game, and a raucous crowd is certain to provide a spark in Game 5. It’s difficult to see things changing for Colorado on the road in Game 4, however, with the Knights leveling the series before it heads back to Denver. 

PREDICTION: Vegas (-113)

Covers NHL betting analysis

Over/Under pick

As expected, the Avalanche and Golden Knights played under Game 3’s 5.5 total, though an empty-net goal at the death could have seen it go Over. Vegas and Colorado have played tight games all season long, with the Under now 8-2 over the last 10 games between these two.

Colorado goalie Philipp Grubauer continues to shine as his team’s best player, and a couple of unlucky bounces stood between the German stealing another game for the Avs. As it was, he stopped 40 of the Knights’ 43 shots in Game 3. Grubauer continues to be a game-changer, despite Colorado’s loss. Game 3 saw Vegas get three past Grubauer, though its expected goals of 4.513 speaks to Grubauer’s performance. 

Grubauer’s goals saved above expectation of 3.8 is fifth among postseason netminders, just ahead of his counterpart, Marc-Andre Fleury (3.0). After a rusty Game 2 performance, Fleury was improved in Game 3 despite seeing just 20 shots. The Flower was +0.15 in goals saved above expectation, after a -0.314 mark in Game 2. While all three of the Avs’ goals in Game 2 were categorized as low-danger per MoneyPuck, Game 3 saw one medium- and one high-danger chance get by.

An explosive Game 1 aside, this series has been exactly as tight as one would have expected coming into it, with Grubauer and Fleury both delivering for their teams, as they have all season long. Don’t expect that to change in Game 4. 

PREDICTION: Under 5.5 (-121)

Avalanche vs Golden Knights betting card

  • Vegas (-113)
  • Under 5.5 (-121)

Picks made on 6/5/2021 at 7:45 p.m. ET

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