Belgium vs Portugal Euro 2020 Odds, Betting Tips and Predictions

Updated: June 24, 2021

Portugal survived the Group of Death but now get to dance with the Red Devils. Can Ronaldo and Portugal’s title defense continue in the Round of 16 against Belgium? Check out our tips and predictions.

Alistair Corp

Posted: Jun 24, 2021 8:50 PM ET Updated: Jun 24, 2021 8:50 PM ET Est Time: 5 min

World No. 1 Belgium will get a tough test to begin the knockout stages at Euro 2020, as they will come up against defending champions Portugal.

After Portugal struggled through the Group of Death, they come into the Round of 16 as +200 underdogs, with Belgium coming back as slight +140 favorites.

Will Portugal’s title defense come to an end after four matches? Read on for our Belgium vs. Portugal tips and predictions.

Game info

Location: Estadio La Cartuja, Seville, Spain
Date: Sunday, June 27, 2021
Time: 3:00 p.m. ET

Belgium vs Portugal betting tips

  • Belgium (+140)
  • Over 2.5 (+110)

Read on for complete analysis

Belgium vs Portugal match odds

Belgium: +140
Portugal: +200
Draw: +225

Total: 2.5
Over 2.5: +110
Under 2.5: -120

Odds as of June 24, 2021, at 5:45 p.m. ET.

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As of Thursday evening, the line is Belgium +140/Portugal +200/Draw +225 with the total at 2.5. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

Belgium vs Portugal betting preview


It’ll be perfect conditions in Seville for this Round of 16 tie, with temperatures expected around 90 degrees Fahrenheit at kickoff.

Key injuries

Belgium: No injuries to report.
Portugal: Joao Felix (Questionable), Nuno Mendes (Questionable).


Belgium   Portugal
1 World Ranking 5
7 Goals For 7
1 Goals Against 6
2-0 vs. Finland Previous Game 2-2 vs. France
Kevin De Bruyne Player to Watch Renato Sanches

Belgium vs Portugal predictions

Moneyline pick

The last dance for Belgium’s golden generation has started brightly, with the Red Devils tested only by an inspired performance from Denmark during the group stages. Despite their most important player, Kevin De Bruyne, as well as his midfield partner Axel Witsel, and tricky winger Eden Hazard working back into full fitness in the first three matches, Belgium won all three group games and conceded just once against seven goals scored. 

Perhaps most encouraging for Belgium from the group stage is that Romelu Lukaku, who entered the Euros coming off the best season of his career, has not shown any signs of fatigue in three outstanding games, and De Bruyne didn’t skip a beat in his return from a facial injury. 

Covers Euro 2020 betting analysis

It was not as encouraging of a group stage for Portugal, who took their fair share of lumps and then some in the Group of Death. Roundly outplayed by Germany, held tight for 80 minutes against Hungary, then putting together an average performance against France, Portugal were at times on the outside looking in during the final matchday.

While Portugal got through in the end, they don’t appear to be long for the Euros, especially with a tricky test facing them. The 2016 Euros saw Portugal sneak through several times, with three of four knockout stage games decided in extra-time or penalties. They won’t be so lucky this time, as Belgium can and will pick them apart on Sunday. 

PREDICTION: Belgium (+140)

Over/Under pick

Despite boasting an absurd depth of attackers and talented, locksmith-passers in midfield, Portugal are a team that sits back, defends deep, and squeak by with results. While that’s hardly an indictment of them, as pragmatism is a proven tournament-winning method, it has cost them when they open up.

That was never more apparent than in their 4-2 loss to Germany during the group stage, in which they were ripped open and torn apart, absent of answers for Germany’s wing-backs nor the way they flooded central attacking areas. The two own goals they conceded were direct results of Germany getting the ball into dangerous areas, and had they not been turned in themselves, Germany would have converted them.

Worrying for Portugal, Belgium too relies on wing-backs, and if Germany’s performance was any indication, they’ll have total control of the flanks. Worse still, Portugal has looked most susceptible down the opponent’s left, where defender Nelson Semedo has had an absolute nightmare tournament. Belgium’s key man, Kevin De Bruyne, is fresh off a title-winning season from Manchester City where he adapted his position to occupy — you guessed it — the left side. 

Belgium can breakthrough Portugal’s defensive block and when they do, expansive soccer from both sides — and goals — will follow. 

PREDICTION: Over 2.5 (+110)

Picks made on 6/24/2021 at 6:00 p.m. ET

Euro 2020 betting sites

As a signature tournament for the most popular sport in the world, almost every online sportsbook and betting site will offer odds for Euro 2020. Check out the best soccer betting sites available where you live.

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