Braves vs Mets MLB Odds, Picks and Predictions June 21

Updated: June 21, 2021

The only thing that has slowed down Jacob deGrom is injuries, as he left his last two starts early. But the Mets ace says he’s healthy, so we have no problem laying the juice with NY tonight in our MLB betting picks.

The MLB betting board for Monday is headlined by an NL East doubleheader between the Atlanta Braves and New York Mets.

Mets ace Jacob deGrom is expected to start the first game which has the Mets opening as -174 home favorites.

Here are our best free Braves vs. Mets picks and predictions for Game 1 of a doubleheader on Monday, June 21, with the first pitch scheduled for 5:10 p.m. ET. 

Braves vs Mets game info

Location: Citi Field, New York, NY
Date: Monday, June 21, 2021
Time: 5:10 p.m. ET
TV: WPIX, Bally Sports South

Braves vs Mets odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Compare MLB odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

The line opened with the Mets at -174, with the total at 4.5 for this seven inning contest. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

Check out the full line movement for this game

Braves vs Mets betting preview

Starting pitchers

Ian Anderson (4-3, 3.58 ERA): The 23-year-old is having a solid sophomore season in Atlanta, pitching to a 1.22 WHIP and holding opponents to a batting average of .224 through 13 starts. That said, he surrendered four runs in three of his last four starts, including his previous outing last Wednesday against the Red Sox. 

Jacob deGrom (6-2, 0.54 ERA): What more can be said about the man, the myth, the legend, Jacob deGrom? The righthander is the best pitcher in the world and is in the middle of one of the greatest seasons in MLB history. The only thing that could derail him is injuries but that is a concern with the two-time Cy Young winner leaving his last two starts early. 

The two injuries were not related — he left with right flexor tendinitis after six one-hit innings against the Padres, followed by a sore shoulder from batting which derailed an eight-strikeout performance in just three innings versus the Cubs. 


Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Braves: Marcell Ozuna LF (Out), Travis d’Arnaud C (Out).
Mets: Jeff McNeil 3B (Probable), Michael Conforto LF (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Under is 17-5-1 in the Mets’ last 23 games as a home favorite. Find more MLB betting trends for Braves vs. Mets.

Moneyline pick

The Braves entered this season having won the NL East for three straight years and opened as +135 favorites to finish first in the division again. But it’s been tough sledding for Atlanta, who is currently third in the division and sits three games below .500. The team at the top of the NL East are the New York Mets, who are 36-29 and have won 20 of their last 27 games at home. 

What makes the Mets even more likable as a favorite today is the presence of star pitcher Jacob deGrom. DeGrom has been nothing short of incredible, going 6-2 with a 0.54 ERA and 0.51 WHIP, with 111 strikeouts through 67 innings.

Although deGrom has left his last two starts early due to injury, the fact that the Mets feel confident enough to give him another start makes us confident enough to believe in him too. Especially with the game scheduled for just seven innings as the first leg of a doubleheader. 

The Braves will send Ian Anderson to the mound and while the youngster has shown flashes this year, he is nowhere near deGrom’s level. In his last four starts, Mr. Anderson hasn’t exactly looked like Neo, pitching to a 5.59 ERA. And that span includes a start against the Mets on May 29 when he surrendered seven hits and four runs in four innings of work. 

You’ve got a starting pitcher on pace for a record-shattering year who just happens to be pitching at home for the top team in his division. And they’re facing a struggling and inexperienced pitcher. Don’t overthink this one and take the faves at -174.

PREDICTION: Mets (-174)

Covers MLB betting analysis

Over/Under pick

The Mets have shown improved play at the plate recently, ranking 11th in the majors with an OPS of .726 over the last 30 days. That said, they averaged just 4.04 runs per game over that span and still rank second-last in the majors with 3.72 runs per game over the entire season.

The Braves have been one of the best hitting teams in the majors but they typically struggle in away contests, where they plate just 4.28 runs per game with an OPS of .692. 

If Atlanta has trouble hitting on the road in general they’ll definitely have a hard time making contact against deGrom. The Mets stud hasn’t played against the Braves this year but has dominated them in the past, posting a 1.73 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in 12 starts against Atlanta since the start of the 2018 season. 

With the Mets going 21-8-2 to the Under in their last 31 games at Citi Field and the Braves going below the total in 11 of their last 16 road games against teams with a winning record, back the Under. 

PREDICTION: Under 4.5 (-103)

Braves vs Mets betting card

  • Mets ML (-174)
  • Under 4.5 (-103)

Picks made on 6/21/2021 at 11:30 a.m. ET

MLB parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s MLB Braves vs. Mets picks, you could win $21.04 on a $10 bet?

Use our MLB parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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