Croatia vs Scotland Euro 2020 Odds, Betting Tips and Predictions

Updated: June 21, 2021

Croatia has severely underperformed so far in the Euro Cup group stage and now need a win against Scotland in Glasgow. But we think they are the better side and the value resides in the 2018 World Cup runner-ups to advance to the knockout stage.

Rob Hansen

Posted: Jun 21, 2021 2:28 PM ET Updated: Jun 21, 2021 2:28 PM ET

Croatia and Scotland tangle Tuesday to wrap up their Euro 2020 group stage play with plenty — or nothing — at stake.

Both teams are stuck on one point through two Group D games, and the losing team in Tuesday’s encounter will be knocked out of the tournament.

The winner could advance based either on the outcome of the other Group D match between co-leaders England and the Czech Republic, or as one of the top four third-place teams in the tournament. But one thing is certain: A draw helps neither side, so soccer betting fans should look for both teams to go for broke in trying to secure the three points.

Keep reading for our tips and predictions for Croatia vs. Scotland on June 22.

Game info

Location: Hampden Park, Glasgow, Scotland
Date: Tuesday, June 22, 2021
Time: 3:00 p.m. ET

Croatia vs Scotland betting tips

  • Croatia (+120)
  • Over 2.5 (+100)

Read on for complete analysis

Croatia vs Scotland match odds

Croatia: +120
Scotland: +200
Draw: +280

Total: 2.5
Over 2.5: +100
Under 2.5: -125

Odds as of June 21, 2021, at 1:53 p.m. ET.

Croatia is favored in this matchup, sitting at +120 to Scotland’s +200, with the total at 2.5, weighted towards the Under. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

Croatia vs Scotland betting preview


The weather at Hampden Park looks terrific ahead of Tuesday’s match, with partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the low-60s. A 12 mph wind is expected at kickoff.

Key injuries

Croatia: Borna Barisic (Doubtful).
Scotland: Billy Gilmour (Out).


Croatia   Scotland
14 World Ranking 44
1 Goals For 0
2 Goals Against 2
1-1 Draw vs. Czech Republic Previous Game 0-0 Draw vs. England
Ivan Perisic Player to Watch Andrew Robertson

Croatia vs Scotland predictions

Moneyline pick

These teams might be level on points, but it’s clear that Scotland have the momentum entering their Group D finale. They have never lost to Croatia in five all-time meetings (three wins, two draws) and should be amped at the prospect of playing for a spot in the knockout round on their home soil, where they have just one loss in six matches since September 2020.

There’s also the matter of an impressive scoreless draw with England, a result that undoubtedly has Scotland thinking upset here (however small it would be based on the current odds). The Czechs have looked completely disjointed on offense through two games, and facing a Scotland team in enemy territory that held the Three Lions off the scoresheet will be a daunting task.

The Croatian contingent has gone four games without a victory across all events, and have just one goal in their previous four international road games (all losses). But the loss of Billy Gilmour to a positive COVID-19 test looms large — as does the fact that, for as well as they have played defensively, Scotland have yet to score a goal at the European Championship.

Several players remain from the Croatian side that reached the World Cup final in 2018 — and while Zlatko Dalic’s side has looked mostly dreadful so far, there’s still time to get right. That time is Tuesday — and the Croatians should follow through.

PREDICTION: Croatia (+120)

Covers Euro 2020 betting analysis

Over/Under pick

There will likely be a flood of money coming in on the Under for this game, given that both teams are a combined 4-0 to the U2.5 so far in the tournament. Add in the fact that each of their previous six meetings have come in below the number, and you have even more of a reason to consider the Under.

But we’re not doing that.

The Scots know they can’t afford to be blanked for a third straight time and the confidence they’ve gained from their draw with the English, combined with playing on friendly soil, should reap benefits at the offensive end. Conversely, Croatia are the more talented offensive side and also know that they won’t secure the three points without being more aggressive on the attack.

These teams have shown a conservative side to open Euro 2020… but you can throw those earlier results out the window. This game should feature plenty of scoring chances on both sides, making the O2.5 a strong option.

PREDICTION: Over 2.5 (+100)

Picks made on 6/21/2021 at 1:53 p.m. ET

Euro 2020 betting sites

As a signature tournament for the most popular sport in the world, almost every online sportsbook and betting site will offer odds for Euro 2020. Check out the best soccer betting sites available where you live.

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