Heat vs Celtics NBA Odds, Picks and Predictions May 9

Updated: May 9, 2021

Celtics star Jayson Tatum will be a problem for the Heat on both ends of the floor and will be one of the differences in this game. He’s four contests removed from a 60-point performance.

Photo By – USA TODAY Sports

The Boston Celtics face the Miami Heat in a game with massive playoff implications on Sunday. This game will be played at TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts, where two of the Eastern Conference’s most talented teams fight to avoid the NBA’s play-in tournament. 

Will Boston take care of business at home today? Find out with our free NBA betting picks and predictions for Heat vs. Celtics at 1:00 p.m. ET. 

Heat vs Celtics odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Compare NBA odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

The line opened at Boston -1.5, with the total at 216.5. Early action favored the Heat and the Over, bumping the total all the way up to 221. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

Check out the full line movement for this game

Heat at Celtics betting preview


Heat: Victor Oladipo G (Out).
Celtics: Jaylen Brown F (Questionable), Robert Williams III C (Probable) .
Find our latest NBA injury reports.

Betting trend to know

[Stat]. Find more NBA betting trends for Heat vs. Celtics.

Against the spread (ATS) pick

On Thursday, Danny Ainge said that Jaylen Brown would probably be returning to the lineup for this meeting with the Heat. This is an extremely important game for both teams, as Miami currently has a one-game lead over Boston for the sixth seed. Whoever gets that spot avoids a play-in scenario, so Brown is going to be out there if he’s even remotely healthy. 

Assuming Brown does end up playing, the Celtics would be the better bet to come away with a win in this one. The Heat rely so much on Jimmy Butler on both ends of the floor, and he’s going to be guarding either Brown or Jayson Tatum. That would require a whole lot of energy from Butler, who will also need to get his offense against one of those two wings. Brown and Tatum are two of the best young defensive wings in the league, so that’s not going to be an easy task, either. 

Boston matches up extremely well with the Heat right now. Sure, Miami eliminated Boston from the postseason last year, but this is not the same Heat squad that made that run to the Finals. 

Even if Brown doesn’t end up playing, the Celtics would be the way to go. The center position is the only spot where the Heat have a significant positional advantage, as Bam Adebayo should be able to have his way in this game. Boston, however, has the edge at the more important positions, with Kemba Walker standing out as a guy who could really do some damage this afternoon. 

PREDICTION: Celtics -1.5 (-110)

Covers NBA betting analysis

Over/Under pick

When these teams met in Miami on January 6, the Celtics came away with a 107-105 victory. Even if this one does end up having a different winner, it’s likely that it still goes Under the total.

Only the New York Knicks play at a slower pace than the Heat this season, and the Celtics aren’t much faster at 20th in the league. These teams are also both Top 15 in defensive rating this season, making this the perfect spot for an Under. 

PREDICTION: Under 221 (-110)

Player prop pick

Duncan Robinson hit five threes when these teams met in January, yet the Under is completely juiced in this one. Perhaps that makes the Over a trap at +136? It sure seems like it.

The Celtics are 12th in the league in defensive rating over the last 10 games, and they are going to be extremely locked in with an opportunity to get themselves out of the play-in tournament. That means there will be playoff-like intensity, making it hard to imagine Boston losing track of one of the best shooters on the planet. 

PREDICTION: Duncan Robinson Under 3.5 Made Threes (-174)

Heat vs Celtics betting card

  • Celtics -1.5 (-110)
  • Under 221 (-110)
  • Duncan Robinson Under 3.5 Made Threes (-174)

Picks made on 5/09/2021 at 8:40 a.m. ET

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