How Masters 2021 betting will be affected by weather

Updated: April 6, 2021

Jason Logan
Clock Icon Apr 6, 2021 – 2:06 PM ET

The 2021 Masters is back in its proper place on the calendar, with the warm Georgia sun and blooming azaleas framing Augusta National in springtime. 

Last year’s rescheduled fall event altered the course, especially when it came to soft fairways and heavy rains during the tournament. But now that the Masters is back to an April tee-off, course conditions are expected to be firm and fast.

As of Tuesday, potential thunderstorms are in the forecast for the first two days and Saturday’s third round could get a soaking. Here’s an in-depth look at how weather will impact 2021 Masters betting, course conditions, and how to best use that info to handicap the Masters field heading into Round 1 Thursday.

Firm fairways

Unlike the November event, which featured very plush and soggy fairways, the spring track at Augusta National is expected to boast turf as tender as an airport tarmac. That means extra yards for those big hitters off the tee box. 

The temperatures in Georgia heading into Round 1 are in the mid-80’s and Thursday is calling for a high of 81 degrees, which means the fairways will be dry and fast early on in the tournament. Friday and Saturday are expected to cool down a bit due to possible showers, with temperatures in the high-70s, and Sunday’s final round will sit on the 80-degree fence.

Winds aren’t going to be that wild during the tournament nor will they make the course play different, as it did in the fall when seasonal north winds forced players to hit into the breeze on three of the four Par 5 holes. Gusts top out at 12 mph in the first two rounds and could get up to 15 mph at times on Saturday when wet weather is expected to roll into the region.

Knowing this, there could be value going with the Over prop on longest drive and specific player props when it comes to driving distance, most notably with those guys swinging a big stick in Round 1.

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Expert approach

Hard fairways may help stretch out those first shots, but second and approach shots will be very tricky to stick if the course is playing as firm as reported during practice rounds. 

The subtle slopes and undulations of Augusta National have waterslide-like traction, so a misplaced approach shot can quickly veer off course and tack on extra strokes for even the most precise players. And greens will be just as unforgiving, quickly ushering balls off the dance floor and into the fringe, rough or worse – PLOP! – into the water on No. 12 Golden Bell, No. 15 Firethorn or No. 16 Redbud. 

Unlike November’s tournament, in which the rain-soaked course played much nicer with others and boasted nine players at 10-under or better (Dustin Johnson -20 a winner), the 2021 Masters is rumored to have some teeth thanks to the drier weather conditions this spring – if talk during practice rounds and recaps of the Augusta National Women’s Amateur have merit.

Golfers with maximum control on their second and approach shots should be taken into heavy consideration, so weigh results from last November’s Masters very carefully when it comes to those players with less than pin-point ball placement.

Fast greens

If August National is known for anything, it’s the greens and the challenge the grounds crew lays down every spring. Even during the pandemic-displaced 2020 Masters, state-of-the-art turf management systems allowed the November greens to play closer to their April form. 

Just like choosing a ripe melon, recognizing how firm the greens are is all about sound. According to two-time green jacket winner Bubba Watson (2012 and 2014), the Augusta greens have a distinct “thud” when the ball strikes – unlike other courses’ plush tabletops that absorb that impact. 

Even with the potential for rain in the first three days of the 2021 Masters tournament, the greens at Augusta are regulated and maintained at a level usually reserved for museum masterpieces, so don’t bank on them slowing up with a sprinkle or two. 

Leaning on the best players with a putter is never a bad golf betting strategy, regardless of the event, but finding a short-game combo of calculated approach and measured putting is a smart way to cash in those Masters wagers.

Where can I bet on the Masters?

With the Masters being the most popular golf event in North America, all sportsbooks and betting sites will offer Masters betting markets. The trick is finding one that is reputable, trustworthy, and has all the bells and whistles you’re looking for. Luckily, we’ve done that work for you. Check out our recommendations for the best golf betting sites before you deposit and start betting.

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