Jazz vs Heat Picks and Predictions for February 26

Updated: February 26, 2021

The NBA’s best team straight up and against the spread will look to continue their historic form in Miami as the Jazz are favorites (-5.5) against the Heat.

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The Miami Heat are riding a four-game winning streak but will face a tough test to extend it to five games, with the NBA’s best team in the Utah Jazz coming to town for a Friday night contest.

Miami ended a seven-game road trip with three consecutive wins before returning home and beating the Raptors on Wednesday night. Early in that road trip, however, they fell to the Jazz 112-94 in Utah. Can Miami get revenge back on their home floor?

Find out in our free NBA picks and predictions for Jazz vs. Heat on Friday, February 26, with tipoff scheduled for 8:00 p.m. ET.

Utah Jazz at Miami Heat betting preview


Jazz: Udoka Azubuike C (Out).
Heat: Tyler Herro SG (Questionable).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between Utah and Miami. Find more NBA betting trends for Jazz vs. Heat.

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The line opened at Utah -6.5, with the total at 217.5. Early action has been spread, as neither line has yet to budge. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

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Against the spread (ATS) pick

The Utah Jazz, at a sparkling 26-6, are the NBA’s best team this season. They have lost just once in their last 12 games, a 116-112 loss to the Clippers (their second game in L.A. against the Clippers in three nights). They’ve also been historically automatic against the spread, with 11 and eight-game streaks ATS contributing to a 24-8 ATS record on the year. 

While the Heat get back into form after Jimmy Butler missed a large portion of the early season, they continue to be up-and-down against the spread, with a current four-game ATS streak preceded by a three-game losing streak against the spread. At 13-18-1 ATS on the season, Miami hasn’t shown a level of consistency in this department that would allow us to trust them against the NBA’s ATS kings.

PREDICTION: Jazz -6.5 (-110)

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Over/Under pick

The Jazz offense has been absolutely lethal in 2021. Utah whips the ball around the court, consistently taking advantage of help defenders by finding the open man and punishing teams. With an offensive rating of 118.51, Utah is behind just the Clippers and Nets on the year. 

However, while they are extremely efficient, Utah hardly plays at a quick pace. The Jazz’s 101.6 possessions per game are the fourth-fewest across the league — they simply make the most of the possessions they do get. 

The same can’t be said for a Heat team who are similarly slow (their 102.1 possessions per game is good for 23rd in the league) but not nearly as efficient, ranking 24th in offensive rating and 23rd in efficiency. 

Between the pace of both teams and a fairly even O/U split on the season (the Jazz are 14-17-1, the Heat 15-17), we feel good going Under here — just a couple of weeks after they combined to score 206. 

PREDICTION: Under 217.5 (-110)

Jazz vs Heat betting card

  • Jazz -6.5 (-110)
  • Under 217.5 (-110)

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