Kansas State vs Baylor Odds, Picks and Predictions for Big 12 Tournament March 11

Updated: March 10, 2021

Baylor crushed Kansas State in both contests this year, scoring over 100 in each victory. The Bears’ high-powered offense is led by Jared Butler’s 17.1 points per game.

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Kansas State earned a 71-50 victory over TCU in the Big 12 Tournament on Wednesday, and now the team has a date with No. 2 Baylor. The two will meet at 2:30 p.m. ET at the Sprint Center in Kansas City, Missouri on Thursday, March 11. 

Will the Wildcats stun the world and hang in there against the Bears? Find out in our Kansas State vs. Baylor picks and predictions. 

Kansas State vs Baylor odds

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The early spread at some online sportsbooks opened at Baylor -20 with a total of 136.5. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

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Kansas State Wildcats vs Baylor Bears betting preview


Kansas State: Montavious Murphy F (Out).
Baylor: None.

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Betting trend to know

The Over is 8-2 in Baylor’s last 10 games. Find more NCAA betting trends for Kansas State vs. Baylor.

Against the spread (ATS) pick

Kansas State is coming off a solid win over TCU on Wednesday, as the Wildcats won by 21 points and got a combined 40 out of Nijel Pack and Mike McGuirl. Those are Kansas State’s only two players who average double digits on the year, and the two of them will need to be similarly hot in order to hang with Baylor. You should know that it’s very unlikely that happens, though.

This season, Kansas State and Baylor have met twice, with the Bears winning those contests by a combined 79 points. (Yes, you read that correctly.) Baylor had a brief period of time in which the team struggled after a short COVID-related break, but the team did earn a 15-point win over a good Texas Tech group on March 7. That win followed up victories over West Virginia and Oklahoma State, so it’s probably safe to say that Baylor has its groove back. 

The Wildcats are 236th in the nation in adjusted offensive efficiency and 105th in adjusted defensive efficiency (all efficiency stats according to KenPom.com). Baylor, meanwhile, is third in the country in offense and 33rd in defense. In more ways than imaginable, this is just a massive on-court mismatch. Look for all of Baylor’s guards — Jared Butler, Davion Mitchell, MaCio Teague, and Adam Flagler — to get plenty of chances to make plays in this one. 

On top of everything else, Baylor is also 3-0 ATS in neutral site games this season. 

PREDICTION: Baylor -20.0 (-110) 

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Over/Under Pick

The last two meetings between these teams went Over the total, with the Bears reaching the 100-point mark in each of those contests.

Baylor should be able to put up a big number offensively in this game, and that would give this one another real chance of going Over. The Wildcats should also be able to put up a decent amount of points here, too. Baylor’s games tend to turn into shootouts rather often, and the Wildcats will be somewhat in rhythm coming into this one, as they just earned a win Wednesday. 

PREDICTION: Over 136.5 (-110)

Kansas State vs Baylor betting card

  • Baylor -20.0 (-110) 
  • Over 136.5 (-110)

NCAA parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NCAA Kansas State vs. Baylor picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our NCAA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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