Miller vs Green Picks and Predictions

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Updated: February 11, 2021

Jim Miller and Bobby Green are two UFC veterans who know how to put on a show, and now this lightweight bout will take place on the main card after another postponement.

Photo By – USA TODAY Sports

Jim Miller vs. Bobby Green is on the main card for UFC 258 betting after moving up from the prelims, following the postponement of Pedro Munhoz vs. Jimmy Rivera. 

This should be an entertaining bout between a pair of UFC veterans who both earned Fight of the Night honors last year. UFC odds have Green as a -280 favorite while Miller comes back at +220. 

We break down the UFC betting odds for this lightweight bout and give our best picks and predictions for Miller vs. Green at UFC 258 on Saturday, February 13 at the UFC Apex in Vegas.

Miller vs Green Fight Odds

Method of Victory Jim Miller Bobby Green
Win Outright +220 -280
Win by KO/TKO +1,100 +500
Win by Points +550 -125
Win by Submission +600 +1,300
Draw +5,000 +5,000

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

Miller vs Green Betting Preview

Jim Miller is a long-time UFC veteran who made his promotion debut all the way back in 2008, on a card headlined by Michael Bisping and Chris Leben. He is 32-15 in his MMA career but has had mixed results in recent years. 

After losing five of six fights between 2017 and 2018 against some of the best in the lightweight division, Miller is 3-2 in the last two years. In his most recent outing last August, he lost to Vinc “From Hell” Pinchel by unanimous decision. 

The 37-year-old has good clinch work but prefers to take things to the ground, where he has 18 submission wins in his career including each of his last four victories. 

Covers UFC 258 Betting Analysis

“King” Bobby Green is also fresh off a unanimous decision loss, after he was defeated by Thiago Moises last October. Like Miller, Green has stayed busy despite his advanced age and fought four times last year, winning each of his other three bouts. 

The 34-year-old has been fighting professionally since 2008 and is 8-7-1 in the UFC since making his promotion debut in 2013. Green is a well-rounded fighter that combines strong wrestling and submission skills with dynamic striking ability. 

Miller vs Green Tale of the Tape

Jim Miller   Bobby Green
37 Age 34
5-foot-8 Height 5-foot-10
155 lbs Weight 155 lbs
71 inches Reach 71 inches
32-15-0 (4 KO) Record 27-11-1 (8 KO)

Miller vs Green UFC Prediction and Betting Pick

PREDICTION: Bobby Green by points (-125) – Miller’s best path to victory is via submission, but Green is capable on the mat and is the far superior striker.

Using statistics to analyze MMA matchups can often be misleading, but with the huge sample size for both fighters, it’s worth pointing out that Green lands 5.15 significant strikes per minute with a strike accuracy of 50 percent, while Miller lands 2.83 significant strikes per minute at 44 percent accuracy. 

Green has good defensive wrestling with a takedown defense of 76 percent and should be able to keep this fight standing up where he can pile up points. Keep in mind that, even in his previous loss to Moises, Green had an 85-42 edge in significant strikes. 

With Green’s last nine fights going to the judges’ cards and his last six wins going the distance, back the King to win via decision. 

Where Can I Bet on UFC Odds?

Most online sportsbooks and casinos offer bets on UFC odds and props. While odds to win usually come out as soon as a fight is announced, prop bets become more readily available closer to an event. Check out the best sportsbooks available where you live and see what UFC bets they have available.


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