NFL Draft Prop Bets for the 2021 NFL Draft.

Updated: April 21, 2021

Justin Fields and Mac Jones have been most often connected to the 49ers with the third overall pick, but don’t sleep on Trey Lance.

Photo By – USA TODAY Sports

NFL Draft betting has come a long way over the past few years. It wasn’t long ago when there were only a handful of NFL Draft prop bets available, but no longer. With the 2021 NFL Draft only a few days away, there is only one thing we know for certain – the Jacksonville Jaguars will select Trevor Lawrence first overall. 

So, with much uncertainty and seemingly hundreds of different scenarios for the first few spots alone, that means the NFL Draft prop bets market is heating up. Check out our best prop bets for the 2021 NFL Draft.

2021 NFL Draft prop bets

Over 18.5 Offensive Players Drafted in Round 1 (+100)

While we missed the boat when this number was at 17.5, this draft is so tilted towards the offensive side of the ball in terms of top-end talent that 18.5 offensive players in the first round still isn’t out of the question. 

First of all, it’s almost a certainty that nine of the first 10 players selected will be on offense, so that means we just need 10 more in the final 22 of the opening round. 

So, let’s break this down by position. Lock in five quarterbacks going. You can also lock in five wide receivers getting drafted early. Then mark down five offensive linemen to go while you’re at it. That means we need just four more offensive players.

Tight end Kyle Pitts makes it three. While we said to lock in five wideouts, don’t be surprised if teams fall in love with guys like Rondale Moore, Terrance Marshall Jr. and Kadarius Toney, and they all go in the first. 

Plus, there is more and more chatter about one or maybe even two of the top running backs going at the tail end of the round. At even money, this is one of my favorite bets for this draft.

Trey Lance Third Overall Pick (+400)

This is one of my favorite value bets of the draft. Lance is a raw talent out of North Dakota State who never lost a game in his FCS career. While he played at a lower division, he has all the tools to not only succeed at the next level but be a star.

Oddsmakers have set his Over/Under draft position at 6.5, with the Under becoming heavily juiced. But I think if you like him to go Under that number, skip out on that juice and bet him to go No. 3 overall to the San Francisco 49ers.

The Niners obviously traded up for a quarterback, and when they came out and said Jimmy Garoppolo was still the guy for at least one more season, my thoughts immediately went to Lance.

Don’t let the talk about Mac Jones fool you. While he is good at making reads and has good accuracy, he is not a better fit for Kyle Shanahan’s system, which prefers a mobile quarterback, than Lance. My gut says it will be Justin Fields in this spot, but the value with Lance is excellent.

Covers NFL betting analysis

First Defensive Player Drafted – Patrick Surtain II (-120)

While this is an offense-heavy draft, that doesn’t mean there aren’t some great defenders in this class as well. Alabama corner Patrick Surtain II looks like the best of the bunch. Surtain is exactly what you are looking for in a shutdown corner: he presses at the line, has elite size and has the talent to be left alone on an island. 

Surtain seems to be getting mocked over and over again to the Cowboys at 10, but the Broncos at nine could be a good landing spot as well. Either way, it is looking more and more like he will be the first defensive player taken.

The noise around the league is that Micah Parsons’ stock is dropping due to some character concerns, and Surtain is widening his lead on Jaycee Horn in the first corner selected market, so this looks like the best bet when it comes to the other side of the ball in this draft.

Where can I bet on the NFL Draft?

Most online books and casinos offer bets on the NFL Draft and odds generally begin to appear after the season. Check out the NFL futures odds at the best sportsbooks available where you live. 

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