Nuggets vs Bucks Picks and Predictions for March 2

Updated: March 2, 2021

The Bucks have woken up, led by Giannis Antetokounmpo, who is averaging an immense 37.3 points and 12.5 rebounds over his past four games.

Photo By – USA TODAY Sports

The Denver Nuggets keep struggling to hold their footing as they climb the Western Conference. Still just seventh in the West, the Nuggets have lost three of their past seven games to East lottery teams, remaining one of the NBA’s most frustratingly inconsistent squads. 

Tonight, they visit the Milwaukee Bucks as underdogs in NBA betting action, hoping to gain some momentum with a statement upset. Can bettors count on them? Find out with our free Nuggets vs. Bucks picks and predictions for March 2.

Denver Nuggets at Milwaukee Bucks betting preview


Nuggets: Paul Millsap F (Out), JaMychal Green F (Out), Gary Harris G (Out), Facundo Campazzo G (Out).
Bucks: None.
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Betting trend to know

The Bucks are 4-1 ATS, both in their last five overall and at home. Find more NBA betting trends for Nuggets vs. Bucks.

The line opened at Milwaukee -6.5, with the total at 236. Early action favored Milwaukee, bumping the spread to -7, while Under money has shrunk the total to 235 or 234.5 at most books. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

Check out the full line movement for this game

Against the spread (ATS) pick

The Nuggets might be screwed from the get, heading into this one without either of their rotation power forwards against two-time reigning MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo. 

Giannis has been on an absolute pillage of late, averaging an obscene 37.3 points and 12.5 rebounds over his past four games, clearly waking up after the Bucks lost five in a row and had pundits reaching for the panic button.

Denver’s stone out of options when it comes to containing one of the NBA’s most unstoppable forces, throwing what’s already a questionable defense into further flux. Unless it plans on heavy doses of third-string Zeke Nnaji, an out-of-position defender (especially one as weak as Michael Porter Jr.) covering Giannis is a recipe for disaster. 

Milwaukee’s been firing on all cylinders, finally has Jrue Holiday back, and recently covered three consecutive double-digit spreads as part of its five-game winning streak. The Nuggets are contrastingly just 3-5 ATS through a particularly cupcake portion of their schedule.

Only Philadelphia and Utah are better at home than the Bucks this season, and Giannis is playing like he’s pissed off. This is a spot to Fear the Deer.

PREDICTION: Milwaukee -7 (-110)

Covers NBA betting analysis

Over/Under pick

The Bucks have been decimating bad defensive teams lately, and Denver is passable-at-best on D. 

Without a pure option to contain Giannis, Denver’s hand will be forced even more on offense, as one of the few teams with any hope of straight-up outscoring Milwaukee.

Combined, these teams average over 235 ppg, putting them above the 234.5 threshold we’re looking at. Denver’s scoring is up a touch recently – 118.6 ppg over its past seven games, compared to 115.6 on the season – while Milwaukee’s recent triad of 132 ppg vs leaky defenses should be indicative of what it can do to this depleted Nuggets squad.

Denver will likely have to fight fire with fire in this one, which has us feeling the Over in a game where both teams can light things up in a hurry. 

PREDICTION: Over 234.5 (-110)

Player prop pick

Given his torrid pace and the lack of defensive counter, Giannis’ player props markets seem like natural spots to attack. 

Our first inclination was to strike on the points+rebounds+assists market, but it sits at an ominous 52.5, such that a 30-point triple-double might not get the job done.

Instead, at less juice, we can get Giannis to score Over 33.5 points, something he’s done in each of his past four games. And with the plodding Nikola Jokic as the help resistance, once the Freak overwhelms whoever the Nuggets decide to throw at him, that seems like a very fair proposition. 

PREDICTION: Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 33.5 points (-107)

Nuggets vs Bucks betting card

  • Milwaukee -7 (-110)
  • Over 234.5 (-110)
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 33.5 points (-107)

NBA parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NBA Nuggets vs. Bucks picks, you could win $60.51 on a $10 bet?

Use our NBA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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