Nuggets vs Clippers NBA Odds, Picks and Predictions May 1

Updated: May 1, 2021

Michael Porter Jr. has been on fire since Jamal Murray’s season-ending injury, averaging nearly 26 points per game.

Photo By – USA TODAY Sports

A Western Conference matchup with massive playoff seeding implications will go down at Staples Center on Saturday night, with the Denver Nuggets taking on the L.A. Clippers. Denver is just half a game back of L.A. as the NBA hits its home stretch, so this one will be among the premier NBA betting games over the weekend. 

Here are our best free picks and predictions for Nuggets vs. Clippers on May 1 at 10:00 p.m. ET. 

Nuggets vs Clippers odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

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The line opened at Clippers -4.5, with the total at 223.5. Early action has been split on the spread, with money coming in on the Under. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

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Nuggets at Clippers betting preview


Nuggets: Will Barton SG (Questionable), Monte Morris PG (Out), Jamal Murray PG (Out).
Clippers: Kawhi Leonard SF (Out), Patrick Beverley PG (Out), Serge Ibaka PF (Out).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.

Betting trend to know

Nuggets are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games vs opponents with a winning record. Find more NBA betting trends for Nuggets vs. Clippers.

Against the spread (ATS) pick

As if the tension between the Clippers and Nuggets could get any higher, after Denver embarrassed L.A. in a 3-1 Western Conference semifinals comeback in the bubble, but the two teams are now in a tight seeding race. The Clippers, 43-21 SU and 36-27-1 ATS, are clinging to the third seed with the Nuggets, at 42-21 SU and 30-33 ATS, right behind them. 

In any year, a team may want a particular seed to order to get or avoid an opponent, but this year, the stakes are far higher, with the reigning champion L.A. Lakers in the fifth seed. A first-round matchup against a healthy Lakers team would likely mean a first-round exit for two of the conference’s best teams in the Clips and Nuggets.

With Paul George hobbled by injury, L.A. then lost Kawhi Leonard to a sore foot. However, it has battled well, going 3-2 in Leonard’s absence — a record made uglier by a current three-game losing streak, after back-to-back wins. Currently led by irrational confidence All-Star Reggie Jackson and George, the Clippers have been unreliable against the spread, with a 1-4 in their last five.

In contrast, the Nuggets have been stellar since the heartbreaking season-ending injury suffered by Jamal Murray. Without Murray, Denver is 8-1 and riding a four-game winning streak, with Michael Porter Jr. taking yet another step toward stardom. While the Nuggets are just 4-5 ATS without Murray, they were a point vs. the Rockets and half a point vs. the Blazers away from a 6-3 ATS mark.

There’s only one team to trust in this matchup, and it isn’t the one that blew a 3-1 lead. 

PREDICTION: Nuggets +4.5 (-110)

Covers NBA betting analysis

Over/Under pick

With MVP favorite Nikola Jokic at the heart of everything they do on offense, it shouldn’t come as a surprise to see the Nuggets’ offense regularly topping their season-long points per game average even without Murray. At 35-28 O/U on the year, Denver has been one of the best Over bets in the NBA and as long as Jokic is suiting up, that won’t change. 

Though L.A. has slipped down to 11th in defensive rating, it has put in a few gutsy efforts on defense without Leonard. At 1-4 O/U in the five games Leonard has sat out, with the only Over coming against the horrific Portland defense, the Clips have begun to be a more middling O/U team, now 33-30-1 on the year. Leonard may be their best scorer and a solid initiator, but there is still offense in L.A.’s lineup, especially with George’s hot shooting and Jackson’s shockingly good form. 

Jokic and Denver can singlehandedly drag most games Over, and in a matchup the Clippers will be desperate to win, they’ll have to muster the firepower to match them.

PREDICTION: Over 222.5 (-110)

Player prop pick

Stay tuned for an additional prop pick when markets are live! 

Nuggets vs Clippers betting card

  • Nuggets +4.5 (-110)
  • Over 222.5 (-110)

Picks made on 5/1/2021 at 10:00 a.m. ET

NBA parlays

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