Oklahoma State vs Baylor Odds, Picks and Predictions for Big 12 Tournament March 12

Updated: March 11, 2021

The Baylor Bears have been a juggernaut all season long and now they can knock Oklahoma State and projected No. 1 pick Cade Cunningham out of the Big 12 Tournament.

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The college basketball betting board has some terrific matchups on Friday, including a Big 12 Conference Tournament battle between the Oklahoma State Cowboys and Baylor Bears.

The Cowboys are led by the projected first pick in the upcoming NBA Draft Cade Cunningham, but will he be enough to overcome a dominant Baylor squad that ranks No. 2 in the country?

We let you know what we think with our best free Oklahoma State vs. Baylor picks and predictions for Friday, March 12, from the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City.

Oklahoma State vs Baylor odds

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The line opened at Baylor -9.5, with the total at 151.5. Early action favored Oklahoma State and the Under moving the line to Baylor -9 and the O/U to 151. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

Check out the full line movement for this game

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Baylor Bears betting preview


Oklahoma State: Donovan Williams G (Out), Chris Harris Jr. G (Out).
Baylor: None.

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Betting trend to know

Baylor is 7-1 ATS in its last eight neutral site games. Find more NCAA betting trends for Oklahoma State vs. Baylor.

Against the spread (ATS) pick

The Cowboys are heating up at exactly the right time, coming off a 72-69 win over West Virginia to improve to 7-0 ATS over their last seven games. But it won’t be easy for Oklahoma State to cover this spread against a Baylor Bears juggernaut that has already beaten them by double-digits twice this season. 

Cade Cunningham was recently named Big 12 Player of the Year and he leads an Oklahoma State offense that averages an impressive 76.6 points per game on 46.6 percent shooting.

That said, the Cowboys allow the second-most points in the conference, at 72.2 ppg, and they play a bit out of control which results in them ranking outside the Top-300 schools in the country with 16 turnovers per game. That’s bad news against an opportunistic Baylor squad that ranks sixth in the country (first among Power Six schools) by forcing 17.5 turnovers per game.

Forcing turnovers isn’t the only thing that Baylor does very well, with the Bears also shooting a sizzling 49.7 percent from the field while holding opponents to 65.7 ppg. Oh, and for good measure, they also happen to lead the conference in rebounding rate. 

There’s a reason that Baylor has an average scoring margin of plus-19.7 ppg; they are ridiculously good. Expect the Bears to be too much for Oklahoma State once again, and back them on the spread. 

PREDICTION: Baylor -9 (-110)

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Over/Under Pick

Over trends abound for both teams, with Baylor 10-1 O/U in their last 11 games overall, while Oklahoma State is 5-1 to the Over in their previous six. The Cowboys also have a tendency to play higher-scoring games against quality opponents, going 21-5-1 to the Over in their last 27 contests against teams with a winning percentage above .600.

The Cowboys have been humming on offense lately, averaging 79 ppg over their last six. Those contests have been against some of the top teams in the conference like Texas Tech, Oklahoma, West Virginia…and yes, Baylor. 

Meanwhile, the Bears have been crushing it on the offensive end of the floor all season, ranking third in the nation in scoring with 85.3 ppg. Not only does that number lead the Big 12, but it’s also a whopping 7.7 ppg higher than second-place West Virginia. 

When you also factor in the Cowboys’ tendency to play at a fast pace and push the tempo, the Over looks like the play. 

PREDICTION: Over 151 (-110)

Oklahoma State vs Baylor betting card

  • Baylor -9 (-110)
  • Over 151 (-110)

NCAA parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NCAA Oklahoma State vs. Baylor picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our NCAA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on college basketball?

You can bet on college basketball odds at every online and casino sportsbook, including NCAA moneylines, spreads, Over/Under totals, and a ton of prop odds. Head over to our best sportsbooks for college basketball betting in your area.

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