Ole Miss vs LSU Odds, Picks and Predictions for SEC Tournament March 12

Updated: March 12, 2021

LSU is averaging 85.4 points over its last seven games, and will put Ole Miss’ defense in a tough spot Friday night.

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The LSU Tigers are a lock for the NCAA Tournament thanks to a high-powered offense, but they’ll try to improve their seeding with a strong showing in the SEC Tournament. 

The Tigers open the conference tourney as 1-point favorites going against an Ole Miss Rebels team that has won eight of their last 10 games, going 8-2 ATS in the process. Who will cover the spread in this SEC showdown?

Find out in our best free Ole Miss vs. LSU picks and predictions for NCAA hoops action on Friday, March 12, with tipoff at 9:25 p.m. ET.

Ole Miss vs LSU odds

The line opened at LSU -1.5, with the total at 144. Early action favored Ole Miss and the Under. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!

Check out the full line movement for this game

Ole Miss Rebels vs LSU Tigers betting preview


Ole Miss: None.
LSU: Shareef O’Neal F (Out).

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Betting trend to know

The Under is 5-2 in Ole Miss’s seven games this season against the Top 5 scoring offenses in the SEC. Find more NCAA betting trends for Ole Miss vs. LSU.

Against the spread (ATS) pick

LSU closed the regular season winning five of its last seven games, looking like an offensive juggernaut in the process and averaging 85.4 points per game over that stretch. Thanks to that run, LSU now ranks fifth in the nation in KenPom’s adjusted offensive efficiency. 

Meanwhile, Ole Miss comes into this game hot, winning eight of its last 10 games, going 8-2 ATS in the process, which includes an impressive 76-59 win over South Carolina as 7-point faves in the second round of the SEC tournament. 

The Rebel defense is suffocating and ranks 17th in adjusted defensive efficiency while allowing a miniscule 61.6 points per contest over the last 10 games. But the question for this matchup is whether Ole Miss’s elite defense is good enough to keep the Rebels within the number?

Well, a closer look at Ole Miss’s schedule reveals the Rebels have had some trouble against the SEC’s better offensive units. In seven games against the top five scoring offenses in the SEC (Arkansas, LSU, Alabama, Georgia and Auburn), the Rebels have allowed 75 points per game, and that includes a 75-61 loss to LSU back on Jan. 9. 

And if Ole Miss can’t slow down LSU, it doesn’t have the offense to keep up. The Rebels rank 116th in adjusted offensive efficiency and rank second to last in the SEC in scoring, putting up just 68.7 points per game. 

We’re betting LSU overpowers Ole Miss in this matchup and are laying the points with the favorite.

PREDICTION: LSU -1.0 (-110)

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Over/Under Pick

The total for this SEC showdown hit the board at 144, which is pretty good considering the lone matchup between Ole Miss and LSU closed at 149. A number they failed to reach by 13 points. 

While we noted the Rebels struggle more against strong offensive teams, that doesn’t mean they’re just going to just let LSU run all over them. It’s fair to assume the Tigers will fall in the 72-78 point range with the way they are playing right now.

And on the other side, LSU isn’t a great defensive team, but that might not matter because Ole Miss is one of the worst shooting teams in the country, ranking 225th in effective field goal percentage and 327th in 3-point shooting percentage. This matchup is a good bet to fall Under the number once again.

PREDICTION: Under 144 (-110)

Ole Miss vs LSU betting card

  • LSU -1.0 (-110)
  • Under 144 (-110)

NCAA parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NCAA Ole Miss vs. LSU picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our NCAA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on college basketball?

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