Outright and Matchup Best Bets

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Updated: June 20, 2021

Bryson DeChambeau was terrific Saturday, posting his first career bogey-free round at a major to move to within two shots of the lead. Find out if we think he’ll win his second straight U.S. Open title.

Rob Hansen

Posted: Jun 20, 2021 8:50 AM ET Updated: Jun 20, 2021 8:50 AM ET Est Time: 4 min

The final day of the U.S. Open will be as much about the superstars lurking just behind the leaders as it is about the three guys who sit atop the leaderboard through 54 holes.

Russell Henley, Louis Oosthuizen, and Mackenzie Hughes will be looking over their shoulders from the get-go despite holding a two-shot advantage over the rest of the field. The trio enters Sunday at 5-under for the tournament and should face a stiff challenge from some of the top players in the U.S. Open field, including Rory McIlroy (-3), defending champion Bryson DeChambeau (-3), 2020 U.S. Open runner-up Matthew Wolff (-2), and the always dangerous Jon Rahm (-2).

That all said, it’s Oosthuizen (+333), who placed second at last month’s PGA Championship, that heads into the final 18 holes at Torrey Pines as the U.S. Open odds favorite.

Here are our best bets for Round 4 of the U.S. Open:

US Open Round 4 outright picks

Bryson DeChambeau Outright (+550)

There would be something deliciously ironic about DeChambeau claiming his second straight U.S. Open title — the last guy to win this event back-to-back was Brooks Koepka in 2017-18, and we all know how much these two guys like each other at the moment. Bryson was terrific Saturday, posting his first career bogey-free round at a major to move to within two shots of the lead, and while Sunday’s setup will almost certainly put his “bomb and gouge” tactic to the test, he has thrived so far this week.

Jon Rahm Outright (+1100)

Rahm is the final golfer in a six-player tier atop the odds table, with the next closest golfer being Scottie Scheffler at +2200. And with the wildly unpredictable nature of most Sundays at major championships — particularly those with leaderboards as crowded as this one — it doesn’t hurt to aim for talent over current standing. Rahm recovered nicely from a double-bogey on No. 14 Saturday and owns the 15th-best final-round scoring average. Look for him to be near the top of the leaderboard when this one’s settled.

Covers 2021 US Open Coverage

US Open Round 4 matchup picks

Si Woo Kim over J.T. Poston (-125)

Kim and Poston enter the final round at Torrey Pines level at 3 over for the tournament and facing incredibly long odds to top the field. We like Kim’s chances of climbing the leaderboard the most, as he comes in with the No. 9 Round 4 scoring average on the PGA Tour (69.21), and he hasn’t scored worse than 72 in any of his 13 Sunday performances this year. With so much prize money at stake, a fourth-round mover can boost his bank account considerably. We like Kim to do just that.

More US Open Round 4 bets

Top Rest of World: Mackenzie Hughes (+175)

The odds are certainly stacked against the Canadian, who had missed his previous three U.S. Open cuts and has never posted a Top 40 at a major tournament. But Hughes is playing sensationally at the moment, having carded just three bogeys over the past two rounds. He and Oosthuizen (-175) are alone at the top of the Rest of World prop, and we like Hughes’ chances of staying competitive Sunday, even against the reigning PGA Championship runner-up.

US Open 2021 betting card

  • Bryson DeChambeau Outright (+550)
  • Jon Rahm Outright (+1100)
  • Si Woo Kim over J.T. Poston (-125)
  • Top Rest of World: Mackenzie Hughes (+175)

Where can I bet on the US Open?

Golf betting is booming, with the popularity of the sport spawning fun and unique ways to wagers and the PGA Tour schedule providing year-round action. Where you bet on golf is just as important as what you bet, and we review the best golf betting sites available to you.


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