Props and Matchup Best Bets

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Updated: May 21, 2021

Covers Staff

May 21, 2021 – 9:39 PM ET

The PGA Tour has plenty of young rising talent, but it’s the old guy that has a share of the second-round lead at the PGA Championship.

Phil Mickelson carded a second-round 69 to earn an improbable piece of the 36-hold lead with Louis Oosthuizen at five under. But while it’s great to see a now-50-year-old Lefty leading at the halfway point of a major championship, there are plenty of young guns in contention in the field, led by four-time major winner Brooks Koepka (-4), Hideki Matsuyama (-3) and Sungjae Im (-2). Koepka enters the weekend as the odds-on favorite to win the PGA Championship at +400.

Here are our golf picks, predictions and best bets for Round 3 of the PGA Championship.

PGA Championship Round 3 Picks and Predictions

Hideki Matsuyama Outright (+750)

We liked Matsuyama a lot because of his ability to manage long courses like this with ease – and he showed the golf world that his Masters win was no fluke, piling up six birdies against just two bogeys for one of the lowest rounds of the day. He connected at nearly 80 percent on both driving accuracy and greens in regulation, and even gained better than 1.1 shots with his putter. If he can approach that same success rate with the flat stick over the final two days, he’s as safe a bet as any to win the title.

Covers 2021 PGA Championship Coverage

Paul Casey Outright (+2,000)

It hasn’t been headline-making, but Casey’s opening 36 at the PGA Championship have been sufficiently solid to leave him just three shots off the pace entering Saturday. Casey’s iron play could use a little improvement, but he ranks in the Top-10 in SG: Approach for the season, so if anyone can keep the birdie chances coming in tougher course conditions, it’s him. His putting has been well above his season average, as well, and if that continues, he should be in contention come Sunday afternoon.

Top Former Winner: Brooks Koepka (-163)

Listen, Phil sitting atop the leaderboard after 36 holes is a great story, but can he actually sustain this level of success? Based on his dismal showing so far this season, we have our doubts. And all Mickelson’s surprising ascension does is make Koepka an even better play as the top former champion; had Mickelson faltered Friday, you might see Koepka’s odds closer to -400. As it stands, he’s a terrific value play given his major pedigree and the fact that he looks fully recovered from knee surgery.

Tony Finau Over Patrick Cantlay (-110)

Outright betters had hoped for better from Finau, but there are signs that he could be in for a strong weekend. His driving accuracy improved dramatically Friday after he showed an incredible amount of rust Thursday. And while he struggled somewhat with the putter in Round 2, the rest of his game is strong enough to allow for a bounce-back Saturday. Meanwhile, Cantlay has already lost more than three strokes with the flat stick and doesn’t look like a player set to contend for the title.

PGA Championship Round 3 Betting Card

  • Hideki Matsuyama Outright (+750)
  • Paul Casey Outright (+2,000)
  • Top Former Winner: Brooks Koepka (-163)
  • Tony Finau Over Patrick Cantlay (-110)

Where can I bet on the PGA Championship?

Golf betting is booming, with the popularity of the sport spawning fun and unique ways to wagers and the PGA Tour schedule providing year-round action. Where you bet on golf is just as important as what you bet, and we review the best golf betting sites available to you.


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