Rosa vs Minner Picks and Predictions

Updated: February 18, 2021

Charles Rosa has alternated wins and losses over his previous eight fights but came away with a split-decision win his last time out. Can he finally make it two in a row?

Photo By – USA TODAY Sports

Charles Rosa vs. Darrick Minner is on the main card for UFC Fight Night betting on February 20 at the Apex in Las Vegas. 

This should be an intriguing fight between a pair of strong grapplers. UFC betting lines have Rosa installed as a -184 favorite while Minner comes back at +148. 

Here are our best free Rosa vs. Minner picks and predictions for UFC Fight Night action on Saturday, February 20. 

Rosa vs Minner fight odds

Method of Victory Charles Rosa Darrick Minner
Win Outright -184 +148
To win by KO/TKO +850 +1,200
To win by Points +350 +500
To win by Submission +150 +420
Draw +5,000 +5,000

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

Rosa vs Minner betting preview

Charles “Boston Strong” Rosa is coming off a split-decision win against Kevin Aguilar last June. The 34-year-old has alternated wins and losses over his last eight fights since making his UFC debut in 2014. 

Rosa has fought three times since rehabbing from a neck injury that kept him out of action for 30 months. Boston Strong has a black belt in BJJ and is a high-end grappler with six of his last nine wins coming by submission.  

Darrick Minner is fresh off a first-round submission victory over T.J. Laramie in September. That victory allowed Minner to bounce back from a submission loss to Grant Dawson in his UFC debut six months earlier.

The 30-year-old is also a grappling specialist who prefers to take things to the mat, with 22 of his 25 career wins coming by submission.

Rosa vs Minner tale of the tape

Charles Rosa Darrick Minner
34 Age 30
5-foot-9 Height 5-foot-7
145 lbs Weight 145 lbs
69 inches Reach 69.5 inches
13-4-0 (3 KO) Record 25-11-0 (1 KO)

Rosa vs Minner UFC prediction and betting pick

PREDICTION: Rosa -184 – Both of these fighters are submission masters but Rosa is significantly better when it comes to grappling defense. 

Minner has a very obvious path to victory in this contest – winning by submission – but Rosa has never lost by sub in his entire career. Even when Boston Strong was dominated by No. 13 featherweight Bryce Mitchell last year, he impressed with his scrambling and ability to get himself out of tight situations.

Minner, on the other hand, has lost by submission eight times, to fighters of a lower caliber than Rosa. Rosa also offers a lot more on his feet than Minner, and has displayed decent stand up in his most recent fight against Aguilar, as well as bouts against Kyle Bochniak and Shane Burgos.

Rosa has more experience against top competition, is the more well-rounded fighter, and is far better defensively on the ground. Back him at this decent price. 

Where can I bet on UFC odds?

Most online sportsbooks and casinos offer bets on UFC odds and props. While odds to win usually come out as soon as a fight is announced, prop bets become more readily available closer to an event. Check out the best sportsbooks available where you live and see what UFC bets they have available.

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