Spurs could be the biggest road betting favorites in NBA playoff history

Updated: April 22, 2016


USA Today Images

The San Antonio Spurs are giving 12 points to the host Memphis Grizzlies in Game 3 of their Western Conference quarterfinal Friday night, currently making the Spurs the biggest NBA road favorites of the last 24 years.

Should San Antonio close at -11.5 or higher, it would overtake the 2012-13 Spurs squad as the largest road favorite since the 1991-92 season (as far back as our ATS records go). San Antonio gave the Los Angeles Lakers 11 points at the Staples Center in Game 4 of their first round series during the 2013 postseason, sweeping L.A. in four straight contests.

Behind the 2013 Spurs are the 1992 Chicago Bulls (-10.5 at Miami), 1992 Portland Trail Blazers (-10 at L.A. Lakers), and the 2009 Cleveland Cavaliers (-10 at Atlanta) as the largest road chalk in the past 24 NBA campaigns. 

During that span, the four road favorites of 10 or more points have finished just 2-1-1 ATS (4-0 SU). But looking further down the history books, road favorites of -8.5 or greater are a profitable 9-5-1 ATS since 1991-92 – covering more than 64 percent of the time.

The 2015-16 Spurs have already toppled some historic lines in their first two games of the postseason. San Antonio closed as a 17-point favorite in Game 1 versus Memphis, covering that spread by 15 points (106-74), and made good for bettors as 17.5-point chalk in Game 2, covering that mountain of points by 8.5 tallies (94-68). Those two spreads rank as the third and fourth highest (tied) in that 24-year frame. 

According to oddsmakers at online sportsbook BetNow.eu, “the action has been overwhelmingly in favor of the Spurs” for Game 3 Friday night and has been heavily on San Antonio throughout the first round. San Antonio is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 overall meetings with Memphis, including a 7-2 ATS mark in its past nine games inside FedEx Forum. 

The Spurs have been road favorites of at least five points a dozen times since 1991-92, posting a 7-5 ATS mark against those lofty away spreads. In that same span, San Antonio has also been a double-digit playoff favorite 13 times before Friday’s game versus the Grizzlies, going 11-2 ATS in those games (5-8 Over/Under).

Source link

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *